Fed Interest Rate Decision

The interest rate, also known as the key rate, is the primary indicator of the cost of credit resources in the economy.

It is the rate at which commercial banks can borrow from each other or from the central bank. Typically, this refers to short-term, overnight loans.

The central bank rate directly affects all interest rates in the economy, including lending and deposit rates. By adjusting the rate, the central bank can shift monetary policy toward easing or tightening, depending on its objectives.

Changes in central bank policy, in turn, affect employment, gross domestic product (GDP), inflation, and many other macroeconomic indicators.

Therefore, if the financial regulator lowers the key rate, monetary policy is eased. Cheaper credit resources can help the economy recover from a recession by restoring business activity, reducing unemployment, and increasing GDP growth rates.

However, if price growth threatens the stability of the financial system, the central bank will tighten monetary policy. Raising interest rates makes credit less accessible, slowing economic growth, reducing business activity, and putting pressure on inflation.

Elena Berseneva 05 September 2023 1K
Elena Berseneva 05 September 2023 Fundamental analysis 1K

The Pre-FOMC Announcement Drift: Is It Worth Taking Into Account?

Fundamental analysis
In 2011, David O. Lucca and Emanuel Moench published their study showing that returns on U.S. equities tend to be higher in anticipation of scheduled meetings of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The research was called the Pre-FOMC Announcement Drift. Let's see if there is a spike in gold and silver prices in the 24 hours before the FOMC meeting.
Elena Berseneva 28 June 2022 938
Elena Berseneva 28 June 2022 Fundamental analysis 938

Does the Trading Signal Work Based on the Forecast Value?

Fundamental analysis
In this article, we will talk about the economic calendar and determine what is better to rely on when making a decision to open deals: forecasts or previous values of indicators.
Elena Berseneva 28 June 2022 1K
Elena Berseneva 28 June 2022 Fundamental analysis 1K

How Does the Market React to Revised Values in the Calendar?

Fundamental analysis
Today we will study the reaction of the foreign exchange market to the publication of revised values of economic indicators. And let's see if it's worth relying on them when making a decision to enter the market.
Elena Berseneva 10 June 2022 1K
Elena Berseneva 10 June 2022 Fundamental analysis 1K

Is Trading on Rollbacks Effective? Part 1. USA

Fundamental analysis
The presented to your attention article opens a series of articles on trading on price rollbacks related to the publication of economic indicators. These articles will contain a unified analysis methodology, but the subject of consideration will be various economic indicators of the main economies of the world.