As of September 25, 2025, ETHUSD is exhibiting reduced bearish pressure, having declined from its recent peak of $4,768.37. The current price hovers around $4,010, maintaining a position slightly above the $4,000 psychological level. On Thursday morning, attempts were made to breach this threshold, but buyers successfully defended it, indicating an ongoing battle for market control.
The Stochastic Oscillator (5, 3, 3) on the daily chart confirms oversold conditions, with the %K and %D lines sitting in the 25–30 range. These lines are approaching the oversold zone, which is below 20. Such positioning often signals an impending technical rebound, a threat that grows if the price stabilizes at support.
Even though the Chaikin Oscillator remains in negative territory, its pace of decline is slowing, signaling a decrease in capital flowing out. The indicator surged on September 24, and quotes fell on September 25 without a substantial rise in selling activity. This suggests buyers are becoming more engaged around the support.
Core drivers strengthen this technical outlook. The SEC's recent easing of rules regarding crypto ETFs has paved the way for the launch of numerous Ethereum-linked investment products in early October, stoking excitement about new money coming in. This is similar to what has been happening for a while now. Big market players have been buying up a lot of tokens, and in two months, their holdings in US spot ETH ETFs have surged by over $17 billion. Therefore, persistent selling activity from retail traders triggered major turbulence.
As long as the daily closing price remains above $4,000, the bearish scenario will be contained. However, a breach could initiate its short-term drop to $3,880. This outcome is becoming less likely, though, due to evident buyer interest. Until October 2, both technical and fundamental signals favor a local bottom to be formed. This sets the stage for a gradual rise to $4,220 and, if a decisive catalyst emerges, possibly to $4,440.
Take into account the recommendation down below:
Buy ETHUSD in the $3,900–$4,020 range. Take profit: $4,440. Stop loss: $3,880.
This forecast is valid from September 25 to October 2, 2025.
This content is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be investing advice.
