Weak US labor market statistics have recently been silver’s key pillar of support. The July report came in well below investors’ expectations: job creation slowed, while previous readings were revised downward. What does this tell us? The labor market is gradually cooling, prompting the Federal Reserve (Fed) to rethink its priorities and focus more on supporting the country’s economic activity rather than fighting stubborn inflation. Such an environment is particularly favorable for silver. Lower interest rates tend to reduce the appeal of dollar-denominated assets and diminish the opportunity cost of holding precious metals, which generate no income.
Sluggish employment figures also weigh on US Treasury yields and the greenback. If further macroeconomic data confirm that the American economy is losing steam, investors’ belief in rate cuts at upcoming Fed meetings may strengthen. As a result, real borrowing costs, as well as the dollar, could drop—typically a perfect setup for precious metals. Note that silver may be more sensitive to any shifts in monetary expectations than gold due to its higher volatility, additional investment and industrial value.
All in all, the frail US labor data for July hint at a potentially softer Fed stance, looming rate cuts, and declining Treasury yields. All these factors are beneficial for precious metals. In addition, silver’s strong correlation with gold supports further upside. The next likely target could be $67.
The ultimate recommendation is to buy silver at the current price of $63.75, aiming for $67.00 within a couple of weeks. To mitigate the risk of adverse market movements, place a Stop Loss order at $61.00.
This content is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be investing advice.