15 November 2022 | Other

Inflation, weak yen, and risks of a global recession led to economic downturn in Japan

For the first time in a year, Japan's economy shrank unexpectedly in the third quarter. Japan's economic downturn came as risks of a global recession, a weak yen, and a sharp rise in the cost of imports weighed on both household consumption and business activity.

The recovery of the world's third-largest economy has been undermined by soaring global inflation and interest rates around the world, Reuters reported.

Japan's annualized GDP fell 1.2% in July-September compared to the median estimate of 1.1% growth and a revised 4.6% rise in the second quarter, according to official data. This led to a quarterly decline of 0.3%, while according to initial forecasts, Japan's GDP should have expected a quarterly increase of 0.3%.

In addition to pressures from inflation and a slowdown in global growth, Japan has faced the challenge of the falling yen against the dollar, which has added to the pressure on the cost of living due to further increases in oil prices.

According to Atsushi Takeda, chief economist at the Itochu Economic Research Institute, the contraction was unexpected. Takeda also added that the biggest aberration was the larger-than-expected imports. The economist says that domestic demand is not as weak as the headline figure indicates, as the three main components of demand - consumption, capital expenditure and exports - remained in positive territory, if not robust.

Economy Minister Shigeyuki Goto highlighted the global challenges facing Japan.

According to Goto, the risks of a global recession due to the tightening of monetary policy by Western countries could hit businesses and households in Japan.



Company MarketCheese
Period: 08.07.2025 Expectation: 1500 pips
EURUSD rally faces potential correction toward 1.165
Yesterday at 06:46 AM 47
Period: 09.07.2025 Expectation: 1400 pips
USDCAD declines amid US dollar weakness and improving Canadian trade prospects
Yesterday at 06:07 AM 34
Period: 08.07.2025 Expectation: 3000 pips
Buying Bitcoin during consolidation before July growth wave with 110,000 target
01 July 2025 60
Period: 07.07.2025 Expectation: 2000 pips
Renewed tensions between Musk and Trump weigh on Tesla shares
01 July 2025 50
Period: 07.07.2025 Expectation: 1900 pips
SPX may retreat to 5,980 following all-time high
30 June 2025 56
Gold sell
Period: 04.07.2025 Expectation: 5000 pips
Gold's six-month uptrend is under threat as prices test 3250 level
30 June 2025 174
Go to forecasts