1 April 2025 | Other

Australia's central bank keeps rates unchanged due to trade tensions concerns

Australia's central bank keeps rates unchanged due to trade tensions concerns

On Tuesday, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) announced its decision to keep rates unchanged at 4.1%, as expected. At the same time, the regulator's rhetoric was slightly changed towards further easing amid worries over rising global trade tensions.

The central bank's governing council noted its readiness to respond to international headwinds if they have significant implications for business activity and inflation in Australia.

As indicated by RBA's Governor Michelle Bullock at a press conference, some shift in stance towards a softer approach does not necessarily mean an imminent rate cut in May. According to her, the country's labor market remains tight. In this regard, the Reserve Bank of Australia is going to remain cautious and wait for the release of additional data on the job market and inflation in the country.

Reuters reports that swap rates changed after the RBA's decision was announced, indicating a 60% chance of a rate cut in May.

According to Adam Boyton, head of Australian economics at ANZ, such announcements give the RBA some leeway on future monetary policy moves.

Anton Volkov MarketCheese
Period: 31.08.2026 Expectation: 250 pips
Invest in EURUSD with 1.1610 target
Today at 12:10 PM 8
Gold buy
Period: 31.08.2026 Expectation: 6000 pips
Invest in gold up to $4,410
Today at 12:10 PM 12
Period: 19.09.2026 Expectation: 200 pips
Going long on natural gas with $3 in sight
Today at 11:17 AM 7
Period: 26.08.2026 Expectation: 960 pips
NVIDIA pullback fails to break its uptrend
Today at 09:41 AM 12
Period: 19.09.2026 Expectation: 2150 pips
Go long on EURUSD with 1.18000 target
Today at 09:17 AM 9
Period: 26.08.2026 Expectation: 600 pips
USDCAD is declining due to halt in new tariffs against Canada
Today at 07:59 AM 11
Go to forecasts