27 March 2025 | Other

US tariffs and rising bond yields derail Britain's plans to reduce its budget deficit: OBR

US tariffs and rising bond yields derail Britain's plans to reduce its budget deficit: OBR

UK Finance Minister Rachel Reeves announced a decision to cut spending on social security and several other needs as part of her plans to reduce the country's record budget deficit.

However, experts at the independent Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) warn that the finance minister's intentions are at risk of being derailed.

The organization believes that global trade tensions and US tariffs may reduce the UK economic growth by 1% this year. At the same time, interest rate hikes by the Bank of England and an expected rise in bond yields could wipe out the small reserve included in the plans to achieve the fiscal target.

The OBR sees the British government's potential borrowing to reach 47.6 billion pounds ($61.4 billion) through the end of the decade. This is well above the government's estimate announced in the forecast released in autumn.

As Reuters reports, the budget revision and tariff threats have revived calls for Britain's government to take more drastic measures to tackle its budget deficit and debt, which accounts for more than 95% of the country's GDP.

Elena Dorokhina MarketCheese
Period: 14.11.2026 Expectation: 3500 pips
Sell Bitcoin with $75,000 in view
30 October 2026 68
Period: 14.11.2026 Expectation: 150 pips
Go short on SPX down to $7,500
30 October 2026 92
Brent sell
Period: 29.11.2026 Expectation: 450 pips
Brent crude sell-off targets $105
29 October 2026 67
Period: 12.11.2026 Expectation: 28000 pips
Go long on NVIDIA stock up to $243
29 October 2026 70
Period: 28.11.2026 Expectation: 130 pips
Invest in SPX with 7,850 in view
28 October 2026 90
Period: 28.11.2026 Expectation: 4200 pips
Selling EURUSD down to 1.07000
28 October 2026 100
Go to forecasts