3 April 2025 | Other

RBA: Australia's financial system is well-positioned to withstand US tariff impact

RBA: Australia's financial system is well-positioned to withstand US tariff impact

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) warned in a report that US President Donald Trump's trade policies and retaliatory measures from other nations could dampen investment in Australian businesses and household consumption. Nevertheless, the central bank expressed confidence in the domestic financial system's capacity to weather these challenges.

On April 2, the US President introduced the highest import tariffs in over a century, Bloomberg reported. Analysts interviewed by the news agency warn these measures could slow global economic growth.

Analysts suggest the direct effect of the 10% tariff on Australia should be minimal. Nevertheless, RBA policymakers are adopting a more cautious monetary stance due to the indirect consequences of rising trade and investment uncertainty.

The Reserve Bank of Australia held rates steady at 4.1% this week. Bloomberg-reported strategists forecast a minimum of three rate cuts in 2024, with a 40% probability of a fourth reduction.

Elena Berseneva MarketCheese
Period: 31.10.2026 Expectation: 1700 pips
Selling EURUSD on fundamentally strong dollar
25 September 2026 23
Gold sell
Period: 31.10.2026 Expectation: 4000 pips
Go short on gold with $4,300 in mind
24 September 2026 42
Period: 31.10.2026 Expectation: 100 pips
Buy Brent crude upon breaking $104.60
24 September 2026 38
Period: 02.11.2026 Expectation: 1700 pips
GBPUSD sell-off targets 1.3200
22 September 2026 48
Period: 31.10.2026 Expectation: 300 pips
Buying AUDCAD with 1.0000 in sight
21 September 2026 51
Period: 31.10.2026 Expectation: 700 pips
Invest in USDJPY up to 157.70
21 September 2026 46
Go to forecasts