The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) warned in a report that US President Donald Trump's trade policies and retaliatory measures from other nations could dampen investment in Australian businesses and household consumption. Nevertheless, the central bank expressed confidence in the domestic financial system's capacity to weather these challenges.
On April 2, the US President introduced the highest import tariffs in over a century, Bloomberg reported. Analysts interviewed by the news agency warn these measures could slow global economic growth.
Analysts suggest the direct effect of the 10% tariff on Australia should be minimal. Nevertheless, RBA policymakers are adopting a more cautious monetary stance due to the indirect consequences of rising trade and investment uncertainty.
The Reserve Bank of Australia held rates steady at 4.1% this week. Bloomberg-reported strategists forecast a minimum of three rate cuts in 2024, with a 40% probability of a fourth reduction.