9 April | Other

Bank of Japan intends to monitor US tariff policy before next rate change

Bank of Japan intends to monitor US tariff policy before next rate change

Kazuo Ueda, Bank of Japan Governor, signaled that the regulator is adopting the wait-and-see approach to adjusting interest rates. The central bank awaits more clarity on US import duties

According to Ueda, the officials will pay close attention to the state of financial markets and Japan's economy, as well as inflation rates. 

The Bank of Japan is still waiting to see the way US tariff policies evolve before assessing the impact of import duties at home and abroad, Bloomberg adds. The US imposed 24% levies on Japanese goods in addition to the previously implemented duties of 25% on automobiles and steel.

At the moment, traders see less than a one-third of a chance for a rate hike by the Bank of Japan this year. Last week, the probability of an increase in borrowing costs was estimated at 50%, Bloomberg reports.

Anton Volkov MarketCheese
Period: 02.01.2026 Expectation: 740 pips
Central bank policy split drives AUDCAD higher
26 December 2025 63
Brent sell
Period: 09.01.2026 Expectation: 200 pips
Rebound won’t help Brent crude to break out of downtrend
26 December 2025 40
Period: 02.01.2026 Expectation: 1180 pips
GBPUSD set to resume uptrend after holiday break
26 December 2025 50
USDCAD neutral
Period: 28.02.2026 Expectation: 600 pips
Selling USDCAD from 1.4030
26 December 2025 27
Brent sell
Period: 31.01.2026 Expectation: 150 pips
Selling Brent crude down to $60.90
26 December 2025 25
Period: 01.01.2026 Expectation: 362 pips
Natural gas selloff amid ongoing downtrend and weak demand
25 December 2025 53
Go to forecasts