7 May 2025 | Oil

OPEC+ oil production increase puts downward pressure on energy prices — Reuters

OPEC+ oil production increase puts downward pressure on energy prices — Reuters

On Monday, oil prices hit a four-year low after the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies agreed to another production increase in June. The alliance plans to further boost crude output, Reuters reports.

However, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects OPEC+ oil output to remain below the group’s target level. According to the EIA’s forecast, the alliance’s supply will rise by about 200,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 42.9 million bpd in 2025.

The US president's unpredictable policies in recent months have also significantly impacted energy prices. Analysts interviewed by Reuters suggest this situation could negatively affect global economic activity.

The EIA projects US oil production to reach 13.42 million bpd this year, rising slightly to 13.49 million bpd in 2026. The agency forecasts WTI crude will average $6.81 per barrel next year—more than $2 below its previous estimate.

Anton Volkov MarketCheese
Period: 24.07.2026 Expectation: 650 pips
Brent crude still has upside potential after consolidation
17 July 2026 35
Period: 17.08.2026 Expectation: 650 pips
Selling AUDCAD down to 0.97500
17 July 2026 28
Period: 24.07.2026 Expectation: 950 pips
USDCAD is bottoming out after recent pullback from July highs
17 July 2026 33
Period: 01.08.2026 Expectation: 2400 pips
GBPUSD sell-off targets 1.31500
17 July 2026 33
Gold sell
Period: 31.07.2026 Expectation: 250 pips
Selling gold down to $4,000
17 July 2026 38
Period: 23.07.2026 Expectation: 1090 pips
USDJPY sell-off targets 161.030 amid lower market volatility and higher inflation expectations in Japan
16 July 2026 27
Go to forecasts