The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has recently cut interest rates by 0.25 percentage points, bringing them down to 3.85%, the lowest level seen in the past two years. This decision comes amid ever-growing global uncertainty that is impacting the nation's economic landscape.
According to Charu Chanana, chief strategist at Saxo, the regulator is proceeding with caution, considering geopolitical risks, as well as factors related to domestic demand. The RBA's macroeconomic forecasts suggest a gradual drop in core inflation while maintaining the target range of 2–3%.
Bloomberg says the central bank's monetary decisions are based on how Australia trades with other countries, especially China. This Asian nation is responsible for 6.6% of Australia's GDP in exports. The US might enact tariffs, which could make the global economy more unstable and potentially affect Australia.
RBA officials project that by mid-2026, the interest rate could be lowered by 85 basis points to promote commercial activity as the global economy experiences a slowdown.