20 June | Other

United Kingdom. Retail Sales (YoY). The value of the indicator has decreased from 5% to -1.3%

A report on this calendar event is released monthly by the Office for National Statistics.

Retail is a volume of sales of goods and services to the final consumer for a certain period. Retail is included on the list of the most important macroeconomic indicators together with GDP, inflation and level of unemployment.

The important role of retail is to be a leading indicator, which means, its dynamics serve as the base for the forecast of upcoming changes in the whole state of the economy.

Retail includes all types of deals: via personal contacts, trade networks, internet, mail, etc.

Often the retail is calculated separately for the nondurable (less than 3 years) and durable goods (more than 3 years). Core retail sales are also to be calculated separately; it doesn’t include the cars, fuel on filling stations, building materials and catering services. These sales categories are subject to the strongest fluctuations; therefore, they may not be taken into account in the overall retail sales indicator for a more accurate understanding of the economic situation.

Comments by the MarketCheese analysts: a decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of GBP.

Marketcheese MarketCheese
Brent sell
Period: 11.07.2025 Expectation: 400 pips
Brent falls ahead of OPEC+ decisions
04 July 2025 29
Period: 18.07.2025 Expectation: 900 pips
AUDCAD is likely to keep pulling back from its monthly high
04 July 2025 29
Period: 10.07.2025 Expectation: 1200 pips
Selling USDJPY during rebound with 142.430 target
03 July 2025 54
Period: 11.07.2025 Expectation: 220 pips
Heatwaves across Europe and US support gas price recovery from recent lows
03 July 2025 149
Period: 08.07.2025 Expectation: 1500 pips
EURUSD rally faces potential correction toward 1.165
02 July 2025 78
Period: 09.07.2025 Expectation: 1400 pips
USDCAD declines amid US dollar weakness and improving Canadian trade prospects
02 July 2025 55
Go to forecasts