23 December 2022 | Macroeconomics

Soaring number of COVID cases in China decreases the population’s activity

A sharp increase in the COVID incidence in China made people leave their houses less often. This provoked a slump in the tourist industry and a decrease in economic activity because of the diminution in fuel demand. 

The recent removal of anti-COVID restrictions resulted in a growing number of COVID-19 cases. Such a situation doesn’t allow the citizens of Beijing, Shanghai, and other megalopolises to leave their houses.

Several indicators of geographic mobility have decreased, such as the number of traffic jams, domestic flights, and subway rides.

Currently, the incidence in 15 biggest cities is 56% lower than in January 2021. This is less than in the spring during the lockdown in Shanghai and other megalopolises. The only exception is the period of the Lunar New Year at the beginning of February. At this time, people were leaving cities to return home, so restaurants and businesses were closed.

The rise in domestic flights didn’t last for too long, and the number of canceled trips increased. According to preliminary data from VariFligh, on Thursday, the number of flights was reduced by 42% compared to 2019. 

Company MarketCheese
Period: 03.12.2024 Expectation: 1000 pips
Tariffs of Trump threats send USDCAD to 4-year high
Yesterday at 11:45 AM 36
Period: 30.11.2024 Expectation: 2100 pips
EURUSD is poised to surge higher as correction continues
Yesterday at 09:38 AM 55
Elena_Dorokhina
Elena_Dorokhina

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segments "Currencies" and "Metals"
2nd in the segment "Oil and gas"
Period: 20.12.2024 Expectation: 2470 pips
GBPUSD is targeting 1.2300 level as selling pressure increases
26 November 2024 66
Alexandra_Belova
Alexandra_Belova

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segment "Oil and gas"
2nd in the segment "Currencies"
Period: 29.11.2024 Expectation: 800 pips
Silver buyers get ready to test 31.5 level
25 November 2024 89
Gold sell
Period: 01.12.2024 Expectation: 8110 pips
Gold loses ground as demand for safe haven assets wanes
25 November 2024 234
Elena_Dorokhina
Elena_Dorokhina

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segments "Currencies" and "Metals"
2nd in the segment "Oil and gas"
Period: 29.11.2024 Expectation: 700 pips
AUDCAD does not exit downward trend lines
22 November 2024 60
Go to forecasts