10 January 2023 | Macroeconomics

Hedge funds halted purchases of oil contracts

Shortly before the new year started, the oil price growth stalled due to growing cautiousness of investors after two weeks of active oil contracts buying.

In a week that finished on January 3, a significant amount of 12 million barrels in oil futures and options was sold. Hedge funds and other types of money managers were the sellers.

As it was shown in reports made by ICE Futures Europe and the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the selloff started after the funds purchased 103 million barrels in the previous two weeks.

Over the last week, the sales of WTI (-30 million barrels) and U.S. diesel (-2 million) offset the purchases of Brent (+18 million barrels), European gas oil (+3 million) and U.S. gasoline (+1 million).

There’s more and more optimism among investors regarding the outlook for middle distillates (diesel and gas, for example) due to low inventories, while they are less optimistic about crude contracts.

Bullish long positions in middle distillates exceed bearish short ones, with a margin of 3.86:1. At the same time, the same difference in crude oil is 3.06:1.

Company MarketCheese
Period: 20.12.2024 Expectation: 2470 pips
GBPUSD is targeting 1.2300 level as selling pressure increases
Today at 08:20 AM 21
Alexandra_Belova
Alexandra_Belova

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segment "Oil and gas"
2nd in the segment "Currencies"
Period: 29.11.2024 Expectation: 800 pips
Silver buyers get ready to test 31.5 level
Yesterday at 11:27 AM 58
Gold sell
Period: 01.12.2024 Expectation: 8110 pips
Gold loses ground as demand for safe haven assets wanes
Yesterday at 10:04 AM 158
Elena_Dorokhina
Elena_Dorokhina

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segments "Currencies" and "Metals"
2nd in the segment "Oil and gas"
Period: 29.11.2024 Expectation: 700 pips
AUDCAD does not exit downward trend lines
22 November 2024 50
Period: 02.12.2024 Expectation: 560 pips
Brent oil on its way up after exiting bilateral pattern
22 November 2024 173
Alexandra_Belova
Alexandra_Belova

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segment "Oil and gas"
2nd in the segment "Currencies"
Period: 26.11.2024 Expectation: 2840 pips
Selling USDJPY with target at 152.00 influenced by BoJ policy
21 November 2024 102
Elena_Dorokhina
Elena_Dorokhina

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segments "Currencies" and "Metals"
2nd in the segment "Oil and gas"
Go to forecasts