3 October 2022 | Other

Eurozone's inflation has reached double digits

The economic crisis in the eurozone has intensified for the first time with double-digit inflation in history, which will force the European Central Bank to continue aggressively raising interest rates.

Consumer prices rose by 10% compared to September last year, data from Eurostat showed. This is more than the average forecast of 9.7% according to a poll of economists by Bloomberg, and also a result that exceeded the consensus for the fifth month in a row.

Energy and food again caused the main increase in inflation, although the underlying figure excluding them also beat estimates, hitting an all-time high of 4.8%.

“Price increases are likely to hover around current levels until early next year. Inflation is then expected to gradually decline as energy pressure eases,” said Maeva Kuzen, senior economist at Bloomberg.

Such data proved to be critical in spurring significant rate hikes in previous months, and this outcome is likely to underpin calls for another significant move with the ECB's next decision on 27 October.

“The next step still needs to be big, because we are still far from 2% inflation rates,” ECB Governing Council member Martins Kazaks said in an interview in Vilnius, Lithuania, where prices rose by 22.5%. "I would support 75 basis points."

While officials have stepped up their aggression, they have also sought to differentiate the eurozone experience from that of the US, insisting that inflation in their own region is driven much more by supply than by demand.

Nevertheless, politicians will be nervous about the next update of records. Boris Vujcic, Croatia's central bank governor, warned in an interview that "when inflation is high and when it approaches double-digit levels, it can become a disease in itself."

Officials on Monday raised their eurozone inflation forecast for next year by 1.6 percentage points to 6.2%, well above the ECB's own forecast. ECB President Christine Lagarde reiterated that officials also see the danger.

“The risks to the inflation outlook are primarily upside, largely reflecting the possibility of further severe disruptions to energy supplies,” she told lawmakers. "We expect further interest rate hikes over the next few meetings to dampen demand and guard against the risk of a continued rise in inflation expectations."

Company MarketCheese
Period: 26.03.2025 Expectation: 300 pips
Record US gas exports push domestic prices higher
Today at 10:31 AM 20
Period: 27.03.2025 Expectation: 43500 pips
News background and technical analysis data support buying ETHUSD up to 2,450
Today at 09:22 AM 22
Elena_Dorokhina
Elena_Dorokhina

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segments "Indices" and "Metals"
2nd in the segments "Currencies" and "Oil and gas"
Period: 27.03.2025 Expectation: 2283 pips
Selling USDJPY due to new US economic forecasts
Today at 08:13 AM 34
Period: 25.03.2025 Expectation: 700 pips
Fed meeting may trigger EURUSD pullback to 1.083 level
Yesterday at 11:46 AM 64
AntonVolkov
AntonVolkov

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
2nd in the segment "Metals"
Period: 15.04.2025 Expectation: 2120 pips
NVIDIA's share price decline is driven by lack of confidence in tech sector
Yesterday at 10:49 AM 33
Elena_Dorokhina
Elena_Dorokhina

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segments "Indices" and "Metals"
2nd in the segments "Currencies" and "Oil and gas"
Brent sell
Period: 31.08.2025 Expectation: 600 pips
Selling Brent crude oil down to $68 per barrel
Yesterday at 10:02 AM 22
Go to forecasts