In the course of the next two weeks (December 2–16, 2025), gold prices are projected to move sideways, based on the current market setup and prevailing trader expectations. However, the precious metal retains significant upside potential due to a highly likely rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in December. There has been a lot of talk about the upcoming meeting, making the market more and more susceptible to this event.
Investors are now pricing in about an 88% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut. Such a move typically supports gold by lowering the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding asset. Moderate US economic performance strengthens arguments for monetary easing. This fundamental picture underpins the precious metal.
From a technical perspective, prices have broken through key resistance levels, establishing a new support base in the $4,170–$4,180 range. The market is clearly bullish; gold’s upside potential remains high while these thresholds are not cracked.
Geopolitical risks, persistent inflationary pressures, and strong demand from global central banks continue to underpin the broader uptrend in the long run.
An alternative scenario may come into play, though it is unlikely. If the Fed surprises the market by keeping interest rates unchanged or signaling a more hawkish stance, gold may plummet. In this case, a break below the $4,100 level could initiate a correction toward the $4,050–$4,080 area.
The overall recommendation is to buy gold from support at $4,175. Profits should be taken at $4,330. Stop Loss could be set at $4,100.
The volume of the open position should be calculated so that the potential loss (protected by a Stop Loss order) does not exceed 1% of your deposit. If your account balance does not allow opening a position of this size, it is better to avoid entering the market on this signal and wait for other trade options that meet low-risk criteria.
This content is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be investing advice.
