31 March 2025 | Other

Chinese smelters agreed not to set guidance for copper refining charges in Q2

Chinese smelters agreed not to set guidance for copper refining charges in Q2

During a meeting on Monday, China's top smelters decided not to set guidance for copper concentrate treatment and refining charges (TC/RCs) in the second quarter of 2025. Experts from Reuters highlighted that the industry is now in dire need of this raw material. 

Since last December, the TC/RC prices in the Asian country have remained in negative territory. Metal supply shortages are expected to persist in the coming months, so there is little hope for any improvement in this indicator. The potential for expanded idle copper smelting capacity in the next quarter hints that the market's inconsistency will endure, the agency said. 

A negative TC/RC indicates that Chinese smelters must compensate raw material suppliers for processing concentrate into refined metal. However, according to Reuters, those expected to make a profit, i.e. the smelters, are not currently reaping the benefits.

As of March 28, the average copper concentrate refining charge in the Shanghai market was reported to be -$24.14 per ton.

Elena Berseneva MarketCheese
Period: 15.10.2026 Expectation: 1000 pips
Selling SPX down to $7,490
Today at 05:18 AM 10
Brent sell
Period: 15.10.2026 Expectation: 800 pips
Brent crude sell-off targets $95.80
Today at 05:18 AM 9
Gold sell
Period: 31.10.2026 Expectation: 18000 pips
Go short on gold upon breaking $4,300
Yesterday at 04:16 AM 31
Period: 11.10.2026 Expectation: 3200 pips
Going short on AUDUSD ahead of US Fed meeting
11 September 2026 61
Period: 30.09.2026 Expectation: 2000 pips
SPX sell-off targets $7,400
11 September 2026 47
Period: 25.09.2026 Expectation: 2800 pips
Buying Tesla stock with $390 in view
11 September 2026 70
Go to forecasts