28 December 2022 | Other

Warm weather in Europe contributes to continued decline in gas prices

Favorable weather conditions in Europe have contributed to lower gas prices. Dutch TTF Natural Gas Futures have been declining for a week in a row, while abnormal temperatures have been reported in EU cities.

Contracts are signed at a price slightly above 850 euros per thousand cubic meters of gas, which is five times lower than summer highs, but several times higher than pre-crisis levels. In addition, this value is more than twice lower than the agreed gas price ceiling, which was set at 1,900 euros per thousand cubic meters.

As Bloomberg notes, current weather conditions have an impact on reducing the load on the power grid in Western Europe. It is expected that the air temperature in Frankfurt on New Year's Eve will reach 16 degrees above zero, which is 10 degrees above the norm of thirty years. The situation is similar in Marseille, where the air temperature will be 17 degrees above zero on the night of January 1. According to forecasts, atypically warm weather will continue in the first two weeks of January.

Winds also have a beneficial effect on the situation in the European Union. This week, the total output of wind power plants in Germany will exceed 42 thousand megawatts, which can be compared with the record values of February. However, taking into account energy prices, the European winter is still difficult to call tropical.

Company MarketCheese
Period: 11.07.2025 Expectation: 920 pips
GBPUSD falls as UK GDP unexpectedly shrinks
Yesterday at 10:42 AM 23
Brent sell
Period: 17.07.2025 Expectation: 150 pips
OPEC's gloomy forecast drags Brent crude prices lower
Yesterday at 08:53 AM 35
Period: 17.07.2025 Expectation: 26000 pips
Institutional investor demand could push ETHUSD to 3,000
10 July 2025 55
Period: 16.07.2025 Expectation: 2000 pips
USDJPY prepares to retest 148 Level
10 July 2025 49
Period: 16.07.2025 Expectation: 900 pips
NVIDIA shares rise amid global AI infrastructure investments
09 July 2025 81
Period: 15.07.2025 Expectation: 800 pips
Breaking downtrend could push USDCAD to 1.375
09 July 2025 52
Go to forecasts