11 July | Other

UK economy contracts for second consecutive month

UK economy contracts for second consecutive month

According to data from the UK Office for National Statistics, the country's GDP fell by 0.1% in May following a 0.3% decline in April. Experts surveyed by Bloomberg had expected a 0.1% increase. This has heightened concerns among analysts about the state of the British economy.

The GDP contraction also casts a shadow over Prime Minister Keir Starmer and Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves actions. The negative statistics, coming after a series of other political setbacks, are significantly undermining confidence in their policies, Bloomberg notes.

The May figures put the UK economy at risk of stagnation in the second quarter. The country's GDP could even decline for the April-June period if production output fell by 0.4% or more in the previous month. The news agency’s experts note that the UK economy grew by 0.7% in January-March.

Meanwhile, the pound continues its decline against the dollar, dropping 0.3% following the GDP data release. However, market expectations regarding future interest rate cuts have remained virtually unchanged. Traders still believe the Bank of England will continue its monetary policy easing cycle in August.

Anton Volkov MarketCheese
Period: 25.09.2025 Expectation: 200 pips
Buying natural gas with $3.230 target on seasonal demand and technical pullback
Today at 11:11 AM 106
Period: 22.09.2025 Expectation: 10000 pips
ETHUSD set to rise after descending channel breakout
Today at 10:37 AM 111
Brent sell
Period: 30.11.2025 Expectation: 700 pips
Selling Brent crude with target of $60 per barrel
Today at 10:32 AM 81
Gold sell
Period: 31.10.2025 Expectation: 40000 pips
Selling gold after Fed meeting
Today at 09:11 AM 120
Expectation: 1250 pips
Selling USDJPY with 146.450 target while anticipating BoJ rate decision
Today at 06:40 AM 125
Period: 17.09.2025 Expectation: 500 pips
Buying SPX on 0.5% Fed rate cut
Yesterday at 11:38 AM 260
Go to forecasts