21 November 2022 | Other

Oil drops as supply concerns ease

Oil prices are hovering near two-month lows amid easing concerns about fuel supplies. At the same time, fears about crude oil demand in China, as well as rising interest rates, put pressure on oil prices.

As refineries piled up stocks ahead of an EU embargo on Russian oil, Europe's limited crude oil reserves have eased. This factor puts pressure on physical markets for crude oil in the US, Europe, and Africa.

According to EU's energy policy chief, the EU expects the regulation to be completed in time for the introduction of the G7 plan to cap Russian oil prices on Dec. 5.

In a note, RBC Capital analyst Mike Tran said that tight global inventories do not support the surplus of barrels rationale for contango. He added that despite weakness in the North Sea and West African spot markets, there are no signs of distress.

Growth in demand for oil from the world's largest importer remains slow due to COVID-19 restrictions. At the same time, expectations of further interest rates in other countries led to the growth of the US Dollar, which made dollar-denominated goods more expensive for investors.


Company MarketCheese
Gold buy
Period: 31.01.2026 Expectation: 150 pips
Buying gold on dips with $4,500 target
30 December 2025 290
Period: 06.01.2026 Expectation: 2900 pips
Tesla stock selloff on forecasts of declining deliveries and earnings
30 December 2025 133
Lyra_Moonwell1
Lyra_Moonwell1

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segment "Oil and gas"
Period: 16.01.2026 Expectation: 1000 pips
AUDUSD is consolidating ahead of renewed upside
30 December 2025 123
Period: 06.01.2026 Expectation: 3125 pips
Selling BTCUSD due to lack of momentum after December consolidation
30 December 2025 82
Period: 15.01.2026 Expectation: 100 pips
Investing in SPX from $6,870
30 December 2025 88
Period: 09.01.2026 Expectation: 7500 pips
Silver rally stalls as prices push past $80
29 December 2025 139
Go to forecasts