14 March | Other

Reuters poll of analysts pointed to possible deceleration of Japan's inflation in February

Reuters poll of analysts pointed to possible deceleration of Japan's inflation in February

Japan's core inflation in February likely slowed from 3.2% in January to 2.9% due to renewed energy subsidies, according to a poll of economists conducted by Reuters. Meanwhile, overall price dynamics are expected to support the central bank's intent to hike rates later this year.

According to analysts at SMBC Nikko Securities, despite the expected acceleration in petroleum product prices, the impact of subsidies on electricity and gas utility costs will be more pronounced.

A separate index that excludes the impact of the fresh food and fuel costs was expected to remain at the January level of 2.5% in February as well, according to Ryosuke Katagi, market economist at Mizuho Securities. The index, as a broader measure of price dynamics, is closely watched by the Bank of Japan (BOJ).

The agency estimates that such price trends reinforce the BOJ's determination to keep raising rates. Market expectations mainly assume their increase to take place in the third quarter. The discussion of further steps in Japan's monetary policy will also be largely determined by US President Donald Trump's economic policy and its global impact.

Anton Volkov MarketCheese
Brent sell
Period: 26.12.2025 Expectation: 210 pips
Supply glut limits Brent crude growth
19 December 2025 33
Period: 02.01.2026 Expectation: 1000 pips
AUDCAD eyes another move from range floor to ceiling
19 December 2025 42
Period: 31.12.2025 Expectation: 180 pips
EURUSD selloff targets 1.1700
19 December 2025 36
Period: 26.12.2025 Expectation: 870 pips
GBPUSD ignores BoE comments and stays in consolidation
19 December 2025 33
Period: 28.02.2026 Expectation: 20000 pips
Correction may push BTCUSD down to $66,000
19 December 2025 37
Period: 25.12.2025 Expectation: 20000 pips
Investing in ETHUSD on confirmed bounce from key support
18 December 2025 85
Go to forecasts