14 March | Other

Pound sterling falls due to unexpected contraction in UK economy

Pound sterling falls due to unexpected contraction in UK economy

The British pound slipped below 1.2920 as Friday's data showed the economy contracted by 0.1% in January, with analysts expecting it to have risen by 0.1%. The main factor contributing to the fall was the weakening in the manufacturing sector.

Last month, the Bank of England (BoE) revised its GDP growth forecast for the first quarter down to 0.1% from the 0.4% previously expected in November. Now, investors' attention is focused on the upcoming BoE monetary policy meeting. Investors expect the interest rate to remain at 4.5%.

Of additional interest is the Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ Spring Statement due on March 26. It will contain plans to rein in public spending. The Office for Budget Responsibility will publish an updated economic outlook and government borrowing forecast.

Meanwhile, concerns about the US economy and the consequences of tariff expansion are putting pressure on the dollar, partially supporting the pound, as reported by Trading Economics.

Elena Dorokhina MarketCheese
Period: 31.12.2025 Expectation: 1000 pips
Selling GBPUSD following yesterday’s BoE meeting
Yesterday at 10:30 AM 28
Brent sell
Period: 21.11.2025 Expectation: 300 pips
Brent crude pulls back and gives up its previous gains
Yesterday at 08:31 AM 27
Period: 10.11.2025 Expectation: 1300 pips
Selling GBPUSD down to 1.30160
06 November 2025 30
Period: 14.11.2025 Expectation: 300 pips
Golden cross signals potential gas rally
06 November 2025 72
Period: 11.11.2025 Expectation: 600 pips
USDCAD is poised to test six-month high at 1.417
05 November 2025 59
Period: 30.04.2026 Expectation: 11000 pips
GBPUSD selloff on weaker UK economic data
05 November 2025 35
Go to forecasts