1 April 2025 | Oil

Macquarie sees oil falling to $60 on supply surplus

Macquarie sees oil falling to $60 on supply surplus

Macquarie forecasts oil prices could slump to $60 per barrel—a level not seen since 2021—as markets remain oversupplied.

Crude oil demand is weakening amid escalating global trade tensions, just as OPEC+ prepares to boost output this month. This could send markets into further imbalance, the International Energy Agency warns.

Macquarie analysts, however, don't foresee a major slump in oil prices. In their opinion, if crude falls below $60, the supply additions in the US and from OPEC+ will slow.

The bank also highlights the shutdown of several Chinese refineries. Macquarie stresses that if these closures accelerate, the longer-term outlook for refined products could be more positive.

Elena Berseneva MarketCheese
Period: 07.08.2026 Expectation: 650 pips
AUDCAD is poised to approach channel’s upper boundary after testing support
Yesterday at 11:05 AM 42
Period: 31.08.2026 Expectation: 1150 pips
Go long on USDCAD with 1.41250 in sight
Yesterday at 09:42 AM 22
Period: 30.09.2026 Expectation: 2700 pips
Buying GBPUSD up to 1.3600
Yesterday at 09:08 AM 18
Period: 14.08.2026 Expectation: 400 pips
Invest in Brent crude with $88.50 target
Yesterday at 08:38 AM 28
Period: 07.08.2026 Expectation: 770 pips
GBPUSD sharp rally gives way to correction
Yesterday at 06:00 AM 17
Period: 06.08.2026 Expectation: 800 pips
Selling S&P 500 Index with 7,250 target amid rising bearish pressure
30 July 2026 45
Go to forecasts