2 April 2025 | Other

Japanese business sentiment falls to one-year low on trade uncertainty

Japanese business sentiment falls to one-year low on trade uncertainty

According to the country's central bank, business sentiment among Japan's major manufacturers, calculated over three winter months, reached its lowest level in the past year. This points to a negative impact of trade tensions on the country's export-dependent economy.

The regulator's survey also showed that companies in the service sector expect business conditions to remain flat or worsen over the next three months. As noted by Reuters, the survey was conducted before the US president announced his intention to impose duties on automobile imports. This adds complexity to the Bank of Japan's interest rate decisions.

However, business sentiment among large non-manufacturing firms improved significantly, hitting a record high since 1991. These firms plan to increase capital spending by 3.1% in the current fiscal year.

A growing number of firms have noted an increase in product prices. They expect inflation in Japan to average 2.4% over the next three years. According to Reuters experts, this may be the basis for further interest rate hikes by the country's financial regulator.

Elena Berseneva MarketCheese
Brent sell
Period: 29.11.2026 Expectation: 450 pips
Brent crude sell-off targets $105
Today at 10:38 AM 14
Period: 12.11.2026 Expectation: 28000 pips
Go long on NVIDIA stock up to $243
Today at 10:38 AM 14
Period: 28.11.2026 Expectation: 130 pips
Invest in SPX with 7,850 in view
Yesterday at 10:52 AM 22
Period: 28.11.2026 Expectation: 4200 pips
Selling EURUSD down to 1.07000
Yesterday at 09:37 AM 35
Period: 31.12.2026 Expectation: 60 pips
Buying Tesla stock up to $450
27 October 2026 29
Brent sell
Period: 10.11.2026 Expectation: 400 pips
Brent crude sell-off targets $105
27 October 2026 32
Go to forecasts