2 April 2025 | Other

Japanese business sentiment falls to one-year low on trade uncertainty

Japanese business sentiment falls to one-year low on trade uncertainty

According to the country's central bank, business sentiment among Japan's major manufacturers, calculated over three winter months, reached its lowest level in the past year. This points to a negative impact of trade tensions on the country's export-dependent economy.

The regulator's survey also showed that companies in the service sector expect business conditions to remain flat or worsen over the next three months. As noted by Reuters, the survey was conducted before the US president announced his intention to impose duties on automobile imports. This adds complexity to the Bank of Japan's interest rate decisions.

However, business sentiment among large non-manufacturing firms improved significantly, hitting a record high since 1991. These firms plan to increase capital spending by 3.1% in the current fiscal year.

A growing number of firms have noted an increase in product prices. They expect inflation in Japan to average 2.4% over the next three years. According to Reuters experts, this may be the basis for further interest rate hikes by the country's financial regulator.

Elena Berseneva MarketCheese
Period: 22.11.2026 Expectation: 145 pips
Invest in S&P 500 with 7,845 in mind
Today at 09:49 AM 9
Period: 22.11.2026 Expectation: 2400 pips
Sell Bitcoin down to $80,500
Today at 08:24 AM 9
Period: 04.11.2026 Expectation: 2700 pips
Go long on NVIDIA stock with $243 in view
Yesterday at 10:10 AM 24
Period: 04.11.2026 Expectation: 1300 pips
EURUSD sell-off targets 1.0000
Yesterday at 09:28 AM 27
Period: 01.11.2026 Expectation: 6300 pips
Buy Tesla stock with $430 in sight
20 October 2026 31
Period: 20.11.2026 Expectation: 1200 pips
Invest in AUDUSD ahead of Fed and RBA meetings
20 October 2026 28
Go to forecasts