2 July | Dollar

US manufacturing PMI barely rises in June as Trump tariffs bite

US manufacturing PMI barely rises in June as Trump tariffs bite

According to the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) report, the US manufacturing PMI rose to 49.0 last month, up from May's 48.5 reading. Reuters-polled analysts had forecast the PMI little changed at 48.8.

This suggests the American administration's ambiguous policies continue to hinder businesses' ability to plan ahead.

From January to March, domestic demand grew at its slowest pace in over two years. US President Donald Trump’s policies prompted American businesses and households to accelerate imports and goods purchases to avoid tariff-driven price hikes, injecting uncertainty into the country’s economic outlook, Reuters reports.

Last month’s PMI increase likely reflected longer supplier delivery times, a factor typically associated with strong demand, Reuters analysts note.

The ISM New Orders Index for manufacturing declined from 47.6 in May to 46.4 in June, marking five consecutive months of contraction.

Elena Dorokhina MarketCheese
Brent sell
Period: 26.12.2025 Expectation: 210 pips
Supply glut limits Brent crude growth
Today at 11:26 AM 7
Period: 02.01.2026 Expectation: 1000 pips
AUDCAD eyes another move from range floor to ceiling
Today at 09:29 AM 12
Period: 31.12.2025 Expectation: 180 pips
EURUSD selloff targets 1.1700
Today at 08:54 AM 9
Period: 26.12.2025 Expectation: 870 pips
GBPUSD ignores BoE comments and stays in consolidation
Today at 06:00 AM 11
Period: 28.02.2026 Expectation: 20000 pips
Correction may push BTCUSD down to $66,000
Today at 04:42 AM 12
Period: 25.12.2025 Expectation: 20000 pips
Investing in ETHUSD on confirmed bounce from key support
Yesterday at 10:14 AM 54
Go to forecasts