27 March | Dollar

Head of St. Louis Fed: Trump’s tariffs may keep US inflation high

Head of St. Louis Fed: Trump’s tariffs may keep US inflation high

The risk of inflation remaining above the US central bank’s 2% target, or even accelerating, has risen following new US tariffs on imports for major trading partners. This could intensify domestic price pressures, according to Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President Alberto Musalem.

The official warned that tariff-driven inflation acceleration could force the Fed to tighten monetary policy, though this scenario remains outside his baseline forecast.

The US Federal Reserve currently maintains a pause on rate hike discussions, anticipating a gradual easing of inflation that would enable rate cuts from the current 4.25%–4.50% target range.

The US Monetary Authority is currently evaluating how President Donald Trump's proposed trade policies may affect the national economy, including new tariffs on foreign-assembled vehicles.

Elena Dorokhina MarketCheese
Brent sell
Period: 22.08.2025 Expectation: 395 pips
Brent fluctuates amid fundamental uncertainty
15 August 2025 50
Period: 22.08.2025 Expectation: 1000 pips
0.9 level proved to be too high for AUDCAD buyers
15 August 2025 43
Period: 22.08.2025 Expectation: 500 pips
Spiking US inflation pushes SPX down
15 August 2025 33
Period: 15.08.2025 Expectation: 2000 pips
Selling AUDUSD with 0.6480 target
15 August 2025 25
Period: 22.08.2025 Expectation: 2085 pips
GBPUSD rises amid improved UK economic conditions
15 August 2025 31
Period: 21.08.2025 Expectation: 1455 pips
Selling USDJPY with 145 target amid growing expectations of BOJ rate hike
14 August 2025 54
Go to forecasts