16 April | Oil

HSBC trims oil price forecast for 2025 and 2026

HSBC trims oil price forecast for 2025 and 2026

HSBC has lowered its oil price forecast this week, citing US President Donald Trump's trade policies and crude production hikes by OPEC+.

The revised estimates suggest that Brent oil prices will be $68.5 per barrel this year and $65 per barrel next year. Earlier, HSBC expected prices to hit $73 in 2025 and $70 in 2026.

The bank has also updated WTI crude price forecast. At the moment, HSBC projects the grade will reach $65.40 this year and $62 next year, both down about $5 from earlier estimates. 

Additionally, HSBC revised its forecast of world oil demand growth down to 0.7 million barrels per day in 2025 and 0.8 million barrels per day next year. Previously, the bank expected oil demand to rise by 0.9 million barrels per day.

The updated estimates are published as Brent is struggling to stay above $63, while WTI is hovering around $60. Prices for both grades have fallen more than 20% from their highs earlier this year, OilPrice adds.

Elena Berseneva MarketCheese
Period: 31.12.2025 Expectation: 1000 pips
Selling GBPUSD following yesterday’s BoE meeting
Today at 10:30 AM 25
Brent sell
Period: 21.11.2025 Expectation: 300 pips
Brent crude pulls back and gives up its previous gains
Today at 08:31 AM 23
Period: 10.11.2025 Expectation: 1300 pips
Selling GBPUSD down to 1.30160
Yesterday at 10:28 AM 25
Period: 14.11.2025 Expectation: 300 pips
Golden cross signals potential gas rally
Yesterday at 08:51 AM 67
Period: 11.11.2025 Expectation: 600 pips
USDCAD is poised to test six-month high at 1.417
05 November 2025 53
Period: 30.04.2026 Expectation: 11000 pips
GBPUSD selloff on weaker UK economic data
05 November 2025 30
Go to forecasts