16 April | Oil

HSBC trims oil price forecast for 2025 and 2026

HSBC trims oil price forecast for 2025 and 2026

HSBC has lowered its oil price forecast this week, citing US President Donald Trump's trade policies and crude production hikes by OPEC+.

The revised estimates suggest that Brent oil prices will be $68.5 per barrel this year and $65 per barrel next year. Earlier, HSBC expected prices to hit $73 in 2025 and $70 in 2026.

The bank has also updated WTI crude price forecast. At the moment, HSBC projects the grade will reach $65.40 this year and $62 next year, both down about $5 from earlier estimates. 

Additionally, HSBC revised its forecast of world oil demand growth down to 0.7 million barrels per day in 2025 and 0.8 million barrels per day next year. Previously, the bank expected oil demand to rise by 0.9 million barrels per day.

The updated estimates are published as Brent is struggling to stay above $63, while WTI is hovering around $60. Prices for both grades have fallen more than 20% from their highs earlier this year, OilPrice adds.

Elena Berseneva MarketCheese
Period: 20.06.2025 Expectation: 600 pips
AUDCAD declines on monetary policy divergence
Yesterday at 10:49 AM 27
Elizabeth_Kuzmicheva
Elizabeth_Kuzmicheva

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segments "Metals" and "Oil and gas"
Period: 13.06.2025 Expectation: 1500 pips
GBPUSD to continue updating 3-year highs
Yesterday at 08:50 AM 56
Period: 18.06.2025 Expectation: 350 pips
Buying natural gas with target at 4.000 on expected increase in cooling demand
05 June 2025 74
Period: 11.06.2025 Expectation: 15000 pips
ETHUSD breaking out of 2,460–2,750 range to mark new phase of growth
05 June 2025 82
Period: 12.06.2025 Expectation: 2400 pips
USDJPY to decline to 140.650
05 June 2025 56
Period: 11.06.2025 Expectation: 1700 pips
EURUSD strengthen ahead of ECB meeting
04 June 2025 128
Elizabeth_Kuzmicheva
Elizabeth_Kuzmicheva

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segments "Metals" and "Oil and gas"
Go to forecasts