7 May 2025 | Other

Traders optimistic about Canadian dollar following Carney-Trump talks

Traders optimistic about Canadian dollar following Carney-Trump talks

Derivatives traders are the most bullish on the Canadian dollar in 15 years. The optimism spiked after Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney met with US President Donald Trump, according to Bloomberg.

One-month risk reversals on the Canadian dollar have jumped over eight basis points, hitting its highest level against its US counterpart since late 2009.

During negotiations at the White House, Carney defended Canada's sovereignty while Trump reaffirmed he would dictate tariff levels for US trading partners, Bloomberg reports. The loonie rallied to a fresh high of 1.3749 against the greenback. Some strategists suggest the positive sentiment on the Canadian dollar could squeeze short positions held by hedge funds in the derivatives market.

Period: 07.08.2026 Expectation: 650 pips
AUDCAD is poised to approach channel’s upper boundary after testing support
31 July 2026 54
Period: 31.08.2026 Expectation: 1150 pips
Go long on USDCAD with 1.41250 in sight
31 July 2026 27
Period: 30.09.2026 Expectation: 2700 pips
Buying GBPUSD up to 1.3600
31 July 2026 24
Period: 14.08.2026 Expectation: 400 pips
Invest in Brent crude with $88.50 target
31 July 2026 32
Period: 07.08.2026 Expectation: 770 pips
GBPUSD sharp rally gives way to correction
31 July 2026 21
Period: 06.08.2026 Expectation: 800 pips
Selling S&P 500 Index with 7,250 target amid rising bearish pressure
30 July 2026 48
Go to forecasts