13 May 2025 | Other

Bank of Japan expects wages to rise despite impact of US tariffs

Bank of Japan expects wages to rise despite impact of US tariffs

The Bank of Japan expects further growth of prices and wages, despite US tariff policy weighing on Japan’s GDP recovery, the central bank’s deputy governor Shinichi Uchida says. 

Additionally, the Japanese regulator is poised to proceed with rate hikes if the economy improves in line with the board's forecast, the official notes. 

Uchida claims that the country’s underlying consumer price index, as well as medium and long-term inflation expectations, are likely to remain temporarily flat. However, even during that period, wages are projected to rise further due to the tight job market, the official highlights. 

The Bank of Japan will scrutinize the economic impact of the US trade policy as uncertainty remains extremely high. Some board members see the possibility to resume rate hikes after a pause in case developments over US tariffs stabilize, Reuters reports. 

The officials believe the US administration’s duties hurting Japan’s economy will not keep inflation from reaching the 2% target.

Elena Berseneva MarketCheese
Brent sell
Period: 30.09.2026 Expectation: 250 pips
Brent crude sell-off targets $88.50
24 August 2026 34
Period: 30.09.2026 Expectation: 550 pips
Go short on SPX down to $7,600
24 August 2026 27
Period: 21.09.2026 Expectation: 2100 pips
Go short on USDCAD as dollar index hits three-month lows
21 August 2026 46
Period: 28.08.2026 Expectation: 1002 pips
GBPUSD is likely to climb further next week
21 August 2026 54
Period: 21.09.2026 Expectation: 950 pips
Buying AUDCAD up to 0.99250
21 August 2026 42
Period: 28.08.2026 Expectation: 540 pips
Brent crude is coming close to July highs
21 August 2026 44
Go to forecasts