27 May 2025 | Dollar

Trump trade uncertainty ties Fed’s hands on rate cuts

Trump trade uncertainty ties Fed’s hands on rate cuts

Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari stated that uncertainty surrounding US trade and immigration policies is hindering the central bank's ability to decide on interest rate cuts. He said Trump's negotiations with multiple countries are making it hard to predict the economy.

Kashkari notes that President Trump’s tariff policies, including new potential duties on EU goods, are weighing on American GPD growth. Meanwhile, the country is experiencing a business activity slowdown driven by corporate investment hesitancy. The official warns that the delayed effect of these measures could materialize as reduced consumer spending by early fall.

The President of the Minneapolis Fed emphasized that the regulator is closely monitoring economic conditions and maintaining a wait-and-see approach, refraining from any interest rate changes until September. The central bank will only make policy decisions after receiving clearer signals about the outcomes of trade negotiations and their impact on the nation's economic data.

Period: 26.07.2026 Expectation: 1600 pips
Buying AUDCAD from support level
26 June 2026 52
Period: 03.07.2026 Expectation: 1310 pips
GBPUSD is still poised for further downside
26 June 2026 31
Brent sell
Period: 03.07.2026 Expectation: 500 pips
Higher supply and weaker demand is likely to push Brent into red zone by weekend
26 June 2026 23
Period: 26.07.2026 Expectation: 3100 pips
Invest in USDCAD up to 1.45000
26 June 2026 30
Period: 02.07.2026 Expectation: 19500 pips
Selling ETHUSD with $1,585 in view following short-lived recovery
25 June 2026 44
Period: 31.07.2026 Expectation: 220 pips
Buying AUDCAD up to 0.9837
25 June 2026 27
Go to forecasts