27 May 2025 | Dollar

Trump trade uncertainty ties Fed’s hands on rate cuts

Trump trade uncertainty ties Fed’s hands on rate cuts

Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari stated that uncertainty surrounding US trade and immigration policies is hindering the central bank's ability to decide on interest rate cuts. He said Trump's negotiations with multiple countries are making it hard to predict the economy.

Kashkari notes that President Trump’s tariff policies, including new potential duties on EU goods, are weighing on American GPD growth. Meanwhile, the country is experiencing a business activity slowdown driven by corporate investment hesitancy. The official warns that the delayed effect of these measures could materialize as reduced consumer spending by early fall.

The President of the Minneapolis Fed emphasized that the regulator is closely monitoring economic conditions and maintaining a wait-and-see approach, refraining from any interest rate changes until September. The central bank will only make policy decisions after receiving clearer signals about the outcomes of trade negotiations and their impact on the nation's economic data.

Period: 31.05.2026 Expectation: 4500 pips
Selling EURUSD from resistance
20 March 2026 34
Period: 27.03.2026 Expectation: 900 pips
USDCAD resistance looms as overheating sets in
20 March 2026 36
Period: 27.03.2026 Expectation: 1050 pips
AUDCAD thrives on monetary divergence
20 March 2026 22
Period: 31.03.2026 Expectation: 800 pips
Buying Brent crude with $115 in view
20 March 2026 40
Gold sell
Period: 31.03.2026 Expectation: 600 pips
Selling gold upon breaking $4,560
20 March 2026 39
Period: 30.04.2026 Expectation: 2000 pips
SPX selloff to follow once it consolidates below $6,600
20 March 2026 21
Go to forecasts