30 May 2025 | Other

Australian retail sales unexpectedly fell in April

Australian retail sales unexpectedly fell in April

Retail sales in Australia unexpectedly dropped in April after three months of growth. This prompted traders to revise forecasts of interest rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of Australia this year, Bloomberg says.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics reports that April retail sales fell by 0.1% from a month earlier, driven by a decline in clothing purchases. Analysts had projected a 0.3% increase. 

The result added to expectations of more monetary easing by the Reserve Bank of Australia. Traders price in three more reductions in borrowing costs this year, Bloomberg says. Prior to the release, market participants were projecting two rate cuts. 

Weaker retail sales indicate that Australian households are cautious in the face of global uncertainty, according to experts at Oxford Economics. They believe unless consumption rises in the coming months, the Australian central bank may cut rates sooner than expected.

Retail sales could be important in determining monetary policy, as consumption accounts for more than half of the country's GDP, Bloomberg adds.

Elena Berseneva MarketCheese
Period: 11.02.2026 Expectation: 1300 pips
NVIDIA shares approach key milestone before potential reversal
Today at 10:40 AM 19
Lyra_Moonwell1
Lyra_Moonwell1

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segment "Oil and gas"
Brent sell
Period: 28.02.2026 Expectation: 290 pips
Selling Brent crude from 70.2 resistance
Today at 09:57 AM 22
Period: 11.02.2026 Expectation: 1800 pips
USDCAD's ascent is unshaken by fleeting oil recovery
Today at 08:37 AM 22
Gold buy
Period: 30.09.2026 Expectation: 1100 pips
Holding onto gold for long term
Today at 07:41 AM 41
Period: 31.05.2026 Expectation: 11000 pips
USDCAD selloff starts from 1.4060
Yesterday at 11:43 AM 23
Period: 10.02.2026 Expectation: 9000 pips
Selling BTCUSD on rebound to $84,000 amid negative fundamentals
Yesterday at 11:06 AM 29
Lyra_Moonwell1
Lyra_Moonwell1

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segment "Oil and gas"
Go to forecasts