5 December 2022 | Other

Larry Summers urges Fed to boost rates more than markets expect

Larry Summers urges Fed to boost rates more than markets expect

Former US Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers warned that the Fed may have to raise interest rates in the future. Rates, as the economist notes, will be increased more than the markets currently expect.

Bringing inflation down to the Fed's target is not an easy task, according to Summers. He also believes that Fed policymakers will need more increases in interest rates than the market estimates.

Interest rate futures suggest the Fed will boost rates to around 5% by May next year. At the moment, the target range is 3.75-4%. Economists are expecting a 50 basis point rate increase at the December 14 meeting. On the same day, Fed officials will publish new projections for the key rate.

Raising the rate to 6%, according to Summers, is possible. He also says 5% is not the best estimate.

Summers believes the best indicator of core underlying inflation is wage growth. The former US Treasury Secretary says inflation will be more sustained than people are looking for.

The economist also warned that during this recession, interest rates will be higher compared to those seen in the past.



Company MarketCheese
Brent sell
Period: 30.09.2026 Expectation: 250 pips
Brent crude sell-off targets $88.50
Today at 10:01 AM 13
Period: 30.09.2026 Expectation: 550 pips
Go short on SPX down to $7,600
Today at 10:01 AM 10
Period: 21.09.2026 Expectation: 2100 pips
Go short on USDCAD as dollar index hits three-month lows
21 August 2026 35
Period: 28.08.2026 Expectation: 1002 pips
GBPUSD is likely to climb further next week
21 August 2026 38
Period: 21.09.2026 Expectation: 950 pips
Buying AUDCAD up to 0.99250
21 August 2026 31
Period: 28.08.2026 Expectation: 540 pips
Brent crude is coming close to July highs
21 August 2026 32
Go to forecasts