8 December 2022 | Other

Investors resume betting on Bank of Japan policy change

International investors are short-selling Japanese bonds, raising bets that Japan's central bank will be forced to change its ultra-loose monetary policy soon.

The resumption of rates occurred against the background of data presented at the end of last month. In November, consumer prices in Tokyo showed the highest rate of growth in annual terms over the past forty years. This means that the BOJ may be closer to achieving the 2% inflation target.

According to Masayuki Koguchi, general manager at the fixed income investment division of Mitsubishi UFJ Kokusai Asset Management, there is growing speculation that Japan's central bank may adjust control of the yield curve.

For several days, rates have kept the yield on ten-year benchmark bonds near the upper limit of the target corridor, that is, at 0.25%. This was the case even as the Bank of Japan continued to offer to purchase an unlimited number of bonds with this maturity.

Company MarketCheese
Period: 14.05.2025 Expectation: 1650 pips
Technical and fundamental background supports AUDCAD
07 May 2025 77
Elena_Dorokhina
Elena_Dorokhina

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segment "Currencies"
Period: 08.05.2025 Expectation: 550 pips
EURUSD to drop to 1.13000
07 May 2025 52
Period: 13.05.2025 Expectation: 240 pips
Brent crude price rebound to continue up to 65
07 May 2025 69
Period: 14.05.2025 Expectation: 1000 pips
Buying GBPUSD amid trade talks and weaker dollar with target at 1.344
07 May 2025 34
Period: 12.05.2025 Expectation: 1500 pips
USDJPY rebound fades ahead of Fed meeting
06 May 2025 69
Period: 30.05.2025 Expectation: 975 pips
Natural gas maintains upside potential within megaphone pattern
06 May 2025 75
Go to forecasts