10 June 2025 | Other

Australian business activity dropped sharply in May

Australian business activity dropped sharply in May

Australia’s economy saw a sharp slowdown in business activity in May, despite the recent interest rate cuts. According to National Australia Bank (NAB), the business conditions index dropped to zero, falling well below the long-term average of +6.

NAB Chief Economist Sally Auld highlighted persistent weakness in the retail sector, with consumer spending remaining sluggish. Retailers, squeezed by rising labor and supply costs, are reporting significantly weaker performance compared to other sectors.

The situation is further complicated by companies downsizing their workforce amid challenging economic conditions. Yet the labor market has so far remained resilient, keeping the unemployment rate steady at 4.1%. However, experts warn of potential long-term softening in labor demand.

As Reuters notes, the latest figures have boosted expectations of additional central bank stimulus measures as early as July.

Period: 14.11.2026 Expectation: 3500 pips
Sell Bitcoin with $75,000 in view
30 October 2026 81
Period: 14.11.2026 Expectation: 150 pips
Go short on SPX down to $7,500
30 October 2026 102
Brent sell
Period: 29.11.2026 Expectation: 450 pips
Brent crude sell-off targets $105
29 October 2026 81
Period: 12.11.2026 Expectation: 28000 pips
Go long on NVIDIA stock up to $243
29 October 2026 85
Period: 28.11.2026 Expectation: 130 pips
Invest in SPX with 7,850 in view
28 October 2026 114
Period: 28.11.2026 Expectation: 4200 pips
Selling EURUSD down to 1.07000
28 October 2026 129
Go to forecasts