7 December 2022 | Other

The Canadian dollar hit a one-month low on risk aversion

The exchange rate of the Canadian dollar fell to a monthly low against the U.S. dollar amid falling stock markets and oil prices. At the same time, investors were expecting a possible interest rate cut by the Bank of Canada.

Jay Zhao-Murray, a market analyst at Monex Canada Inc, said the combination of risk-off equity trading and decreasing prices of crude oil appear to be taking a toll on the Canadian currency.

According to Zhao-Murray, bidders may also be betting against the dollar ahead of tomorrow's Bank of Canada meeting. Because if the Bank of Canada chooses the path of least resistance, it could cut rates by 25 basis points, Zhao-Murray said.

Money markets are betting on a 25-basis-point rate hike Wednesday when the Bank of Canada determines its policy. Meanwhile, there is about a 25 percent chance that the central bank will raise rates by 50 basis points, as it did in October.

Canada's trade surplus rose to C$1.2 billion ($878.2 million) in October on higher exports and imports.

Company MarketCheese
Period: 28.09.2026 Expectation: 4000 pips
Buy USDCAD while US inflation remains sticky
Yesterday at 08:07 AM 41
Period: 11.08.2026 Expectation: 740 pips
Go long on Brent crude up to $95
Yesterday at 06:14 AM 40
Period: 27.09.2026 Expectation: 4650 pips
Invest in USDJPY up to its all-time high of 164.00
27 August 2026 49
Period: 30.09.2026 Expectation: 500 pips
Sell ​​GBPUSD down to 1.3540
27 August 2026 30
Gold buy
Period: 10.09.2026 Expectation: 300 pips
Buy gold with $4,900 in sight
27 August 2026 48
Period: 30.09.2026 Expectation: 250 pips
Buying EURUSD from 1.1650
26 August 2026 40
Go to forecasts