3 July 2025 | Other

Canada's manufacturing sector experiences sharpest decline in five years due to US tariffs

Canada's manufacturing sector experiences sharpest decline in five years due to US tariffs

Canada's industrial sector decline accelerated in June due to new US tariffs, causing the sharpest production drop since the pandemic had begun. The Manufacturing PMI fell to 45.6 points, remaining below the critical 50-point threshold for the fifth consecutive month, indicating ongoing sector contraction.

The primary deterioration factor was demand decline, particularly from foreign buyers. The new export orders index plummeted to 40.2. With approximately 75% of Canadian exports destined for the US, new steel and aluminum tariffs exacerbated negative effects.

Companies also faced rising prices and supply chain delays that intensified in June. Average delivery times have remained extended for twelve straight months, while raw material inventories continue shrinking. As noted by S&P Global Economics Director Paul Smith, trade uncertainty is undermining business confidence in future prospects.

Period: 12.11.2026 Expectation: 5500 pips
Selling silver down to $55.50
Yesterday at 11:12 AM 15
Period: 26.10.2026 Expectation: 165 pips
Go long on SPX with 8,000 target
Yesterday at 07:08 AM 23
Period: 30.11.2026 Expectation: 1600 pips
Go short on USDJPY from 159.115 level
Yesterday at 05:36 AM 34
Period: 23.10.2026 Expectation: 470 pips
Buying Brent crude with $106.00 in mind
09 October 2026 41
Period: 09.11.2026 Expectation: 3000 pips
Invest in USDCAD up to 1.45000
09 October 2026 50
Period: 29.10.2026 Expectation: 800 pips
Sell GBPUSD down to 1.3180
08 October 2026 75
Go to forecasts