19 June | Oil

Goldman Sachs sees Brent oil risk premium hitting $10 per barrel

Goldman Sachs sees Brent oil risk premium hitting $10 per barrel

According to Goldman Sachs analysts, Brent crude prices have climbed to $76–77 per barrel, driven in part by heightened geopolitical tensions. The bank estimates the current fuel risk premium to be around $10 per barrel. In recent weeks, escalating conflicts in the Middle East have significantly affected energy costs. Investors are growing concerned over potential supply disruptions, the bank noted in a Wednesday report.

The deepening Middle East crisis has sparked fears among market participants about possible delays in oil shipments. This region is of paramount importance to the petroleum industry. Therefore, traders are quickly adjusting their positions to deal with the problems arising from the fallout, Goldman Sachs said.

With a daily output of about 3.3 million barrels, Iran is currently OPEC's third-largest oil producer. However, the ongoing conflict has weakened its export capacity, further straining global supply and driving fuel prices up.

Elena Berseneva MarketCheese
Period: 31.12.2025 Expectation: 2000 pips
Buying USDJPY from 150.000
Yesterday at 11:20 AM 34
Period: 22.10.2025 Expectation: 840 pips
NVIDIA correction unlocks buying opportunities
Yesterday at 10:18 AM 27
Period: 30.11.2025 Expectation: 3800 pips
Buying EURUSD due to expectations of Fed rate cuts
Yesterday at 09:22 AM 40
Period: 21.10.2025 Expectation: 1200 pips
Double bottom suggests EURUSD reversal toward 1.175
Yesterday at 08:13 AM 29
Period: 22.10.2025 Expectation: 880 pips
USDCAD may correct amid escalating trade tensions
Yesterday at 07:58 AM 20
Period: 21.10.2025 Expectation: 7500 pips
Buying Bitcoin near support as price consolidates and US trade rhetoric eases
14 October 2025 54
Go to forecasts