16 July | Dollar

US core inflation rises slower than expected for fifth straight month

US core inflation rises slower than expected for fifth straight month

Core inflation in the US grew less than forecast in June, marking the fifth consecutive month of slower-than-expected growth despite the impact of President Donald Trump’s import tariffs, which pushed up prices on certain goods. The core consumer price index (CPI), which excludes volatile food and energy costs, rose just 0.2% month-over-month, below expectations once again.

While falling car prices helped restrain the index, tariffs contributed to sharper price increases for goods like toys and household appliances, which saw their fastest inflation rates in years.

The mixed data has divided Federal Reserve officials. Some see evidence of tariff-driven price pressures, while others note limited broader inflationary risks. Markets still expect the central bank to hold interest rates steady at its upcoming meeting.

Following the report, the dollar strengthened, and Treasury yields rose, according to Bloomberg.

Period: 05.09.2025 Expectation: 900 pips
AUDCAD loses momentum near channel resistance
29 August 2025 39
Period: 05.09.2025 Expectation: 900 pips
Inverse head and shoulders pattern to form upon GBPUSD break of 1.358
29 August 2025 47
Period: 30.11.2025 Expectation: 2800 pips
USDJPY set to weaken in medium term
29 August 2025 25
Brent sell
Period: 05.09.2025 Expectation: 200 pips
Brent declines amid growing inventories and potential production increases
29 August 2025 49
Period: 05.09.2025 Expectation: 600 pips
Buying USDCAD on divergent data from US and Canada
29 August 2025 25
Period: 30.11.2025 Expectation: 3000 pips
Tesla shares to get boost on breaking $370
28 August 2025 46
Go to forecasts