16 July 2025 | Dollar

US core inflation rises slower than expected for fifth straight month

US core inflation rises slower than expected for fifth straight month

Core inflation in the US grew less than forecast in June, marking the fifth consecutive month of slower-than-expected growth despite the impact of President Donald Trump’s import tariffs, which pushed up prices on certain goods. The core consumer price index (CPI), which excludes volatile food and energy costs, rose just 0.2% month-over-month, below expectations once again.

While falling car prices helped restrain the index, tariffs contributed to sharper price increases for goods like toys and household appliances, which saw their fastest inflation rates in years.

The mixed data has divided Federal Reserve officials. Some see evidence of tariff-driven price pressures, while others note limited broader inflationary risks. Markets still expect the central bank to hold interest rates steady at its upcoming meeting.

Following the report, the dollar strengthened, and Treasury yields rose, according to Bloomberg.

Period: 13.02.2026 Expectation: 1500 pips
GBPUSD temporarily recovers following BoE rate decision
06 February 2026 29
Lyra_Moonwell1
Lyra_Moonwell1

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segment "Oil and gas"
Period: 31.07.2026 Expectation: 1000 pips
Buying ETHUSD on major dip
06 February 2026 38
Period: 31.05.2026 Expectation: 30000 pips
Investing in silver for medium term
06 February 2026 32
Brent sell
Period: 13.02.2026 Expectation: 210 pips
Brent crude stabilizes as geopolitical premium fades away
06 February 2026 24
Period: 12.02.2026 Expectation: 25000 pips
Selling ETHUSD when it bounces up to $2,250 resistance
05 February 2026 31
Lyra_Moonwell1
Lyra_Moonwell1

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segment "Oil and gas"
Period: 31.03.2026 Expectation: 220 pips
Buy SPX starting from $6,820
05 February 2026 37
Go to forecasts