22 July 2025 | Other

Election results complicate Bank of Japan's monetary policy decisions

Election results complicate Bank of Japan's monetary policy decisions

According to Reuters, the results of upper house elections in Japan complicate the decision-making process at the country's central bank. The outcome of the election on Sunday put Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's ruling coalition in a minority in both chambers of parliament.

So, in order to pass laws, it will now have to compromise with the opposition, which has been urging tax cuts and spending increases. However, such measures could cause significant damage to Japan's financial situation.

According to the agency, the formation of a supplementary budget in the fall to finance payments and tax breaks is more likely. Analysts say its size could exceed last year's package of 14 trillion yen ($95 billion).

As analysts quoted by the agency pointed out, political uncertainty and worries over the country's growing national debt could weaken the yen and lead to an increase in the cost of imports. Given the risk associated with US tariffs, analysts quoted by Reuters now expect the country's central bank to raise rates no earlier than next year. However, the factors mentioned above could simultaneously boost inflation and keep the Bank of Japan from sticking to its chosen cautious approach, they warned.

Anton Volkov MarketCheese
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