7 July | Other

UK financial problems spur tax increase expectations — Barclays

UK financial problems spur tax increase expectations — Barclays

The UK government is facing growing financial challenges that will require tax increases in the autumn budget. This was reported by conglomerate Barclays in its research note.

Due to recent political developments, the kingdom's fiscal position has deteriorated. This, in turn, has led to a revision of the welfare reform and an increase in government spending by 4.8 billion pounds ($6.53 billion) by the 2029–30 fiscal year.

The nation's economic data showed GDP growth of 0.7% quarter-on-quarter. Meanwhile, household consumption also rose — reaching 0.3%.

Final June PMI data reflects modest improvement at the quarter's end. The composite PMI index was revised upward to 52.0 points compared to the flash estimate.

Simultaneously, the labor market shows signs of weakening. Barclays' alternative employment indicator points to a reduction of 27,000 jobs in May.

Period: 25.09.2025 Expectation: 200 pips
Buying natural gas with $3.230 target on seasonal demand and technical pullback
Yesterday at 11:11 AM 114
Period: 22.09.2025 Expectation: 10000 pips
ETHUSD set to rise after descending channel breakout
Yesterday at 10:37 AM 118
Brent sell
Period: 30.11.2025 Expectation: 700 pips
Selling Brent crude with target of $60 per barrel
Yesterday at 10:32 AM 86
Gold sell
Period: 31.10.2025 Expectation: 40000 pips
Selling gold after Fed meeting
Yesterday at 09:11 AM 128
Expectation: 1250 pips
Selling USDJPY with 146.450 target while anticipating BoJ rate decision
Yesterday at 06:40 AM 134
Period: 17.09.2025 Expectation: 500 pips
Buying SPX on 0.5% Fed rate cut
17 September 2025 265
Go to forecasts