7 July | Other

UK financial problems spur tax increase expectations — Barclays

UK financial problems spur tax increase expectations — Barclays

The UK government is facing growing financial challenges that will require tax increases in the autumn budget. This was reported by conglomerate Barclays in its research note.

Due to recent political developments, the kingdom's fiscal position has deteriorated. This, in turn, has led to a revision of the welfare reform and an increase in government spending by 4.8 billion pounds ($6.53 billion) by the 2029–30 fiscal year.

The nation's economic data showed GDP growth of 0.7% quarter-on-quarter. Meanwhile, household consumption also rose — reaching 0.3%.

Final June PMI data reflects modest improvement at the quarter's end. The composite PMI index was revised upward to 52.0 points compared to the flash estimate.

Simultaneously, the labor market shows signs of weakening. Barclays' alternative employment indicator points to a reduction of 27,000 jobs in May.

Period: 21.11.2025 Expectation: 1078 pips
GBPUSD falls as bullish pressure fades and budget risks loom
Yesterday at 11:04 AM 19
Brent sell
Period: 28.11.2025 Expectation: 300 pips
Brent crude capped by $65–$66 resistance
Yesterday at 09:27 AM 28
Period: 21.11.2025 Expectation: 660 pips
AUDCAD may enter short-term correction
Yesterday at 09:19 AM 21
Period: 21.11.2025 Expectation: 800 pips
Selling SPX as risk-off mood kicks in
Yesterday at 07:05 AM 16
Period: 20.11.2025 Expectation: 280 pips
Fading bullish momentum is good reason to sell natural gas
13 November 2025 43
Period: 31.12.2025 Expectation: 800 pips
USDCAD with 1.4090 play is worth buying
13 November 2025 49
Go to forecasts