9 July 2025 | Other

Bank of America warns of risks for yen amid upcoming elections and tariff increases

Bank of America warns of risks for yen amid upcoming elections and tariff increases

According to a Bank of America analysts' report, risks for holders of Japanese yen-denominated assets have increased over the past week. Experts attribute this to two key events: the US tariff hikes and the potential setback for the ruling coalition in parliamentary elections. This information was provided by Investing.com.

Preliminary opinion polls have shown that Japan's Liberal Democratic Party risks losing its majority in the July 20 parliamentary elections. Earlier, analysts at the American bank had predicted such an outcome and noted associated risks for the Asian country's economy.

Additionally, the US plans to increase tariffs on Japanese goods to 25% starting August 1. Bank of America experts believe the tariff increase will necessitate additional government spending and affect the actions of Japan's financial regulator.

Meanwhile, the bank's analysts continue to favor buying USD/JPY and EUR/JPY currency pairs. This decision is linked to the fact that non-commercial traders at CME maintain a net long position on the yen.

Anton Volkov MarketCheese
Period: 26.07.2026 Expectation: 1600 pips
Buying AUDCAD from support level
26 June 2026 48
Period: 03.07.2026 Expectation: 1310 pips
GBPUSD is still poised for further downside
26 June 2026 30
Brent sell
Period: 03.07.2026 Expectation: 500 pips
Higher supply and weaker demand is likely to push Brent into red zone by weekend
26 June 2026 21
Period: 26.07.2026 Expectation: 3100 pips
Invest in USDCAD up to 1.45000
26 June 2026 27
Period: 02.07.2026 Expectation: 19500 pips
Selling ETHUSD with $1,585 in view following short-lived recovery
25 June 2026 41
Period: 31.07.2026 Expectation: 220 pips
Buying AUDCAD up to 0.9837
25 June 2026 25
Go to forecasts