10 July 2025 | Oil

Standard Chartered debunks theory of hidden oil reserves in China and South Africa

Standard Chartered debunks theory of hidden oil reserves in China and South Africa

Standard Chartered has debunked the Wall Street theory gaining popularity about the existence of hidden oil reserves outside the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). In its recent commodity markets review, the firm confirmed the invalidity of information about secret stockpiling of energy resources in China and South Africa.

However, as noted by OilPrice columnist Charles Kennedy, this data contradicts the macroeconomic forecasts of market "bears." These forecasts claim that low oil inventories in OECD countries are masking an oversupply in other regions.

Nevertheless, the company's optimistic position is reinforced by OPEC+'s intention to cancel voluntary production cuts by alliance members. According to StanChart experts' expectations, the final production increase of 584,000 barrels per day on August 3 will mark the completion of the second phase of supply reduction cancellations. This decision speaks to OPEC's belief in the market's ability to absorb additional supply.

Meanwhile, activity in the US oil sector is declining. According to Baker Hughes data, the rig count has dropped for the 10th consecutive week to 425 units.

Anton Volkov MarketCheese
Period: 30.01.2026 Expectation: 600 pips
AUDCAD trend holds firm on upbeat Australian reports
Yesterday at 11:16 AM 32
Lyra_Moonwell1
Lyra_Moonwell1

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segment "Oil and gas"
Brent sell
Period: 30.01.2026 Expectation: 100 pips
Brent's rally stalls as upside is limited by $65–$66 resistance
Yesterday at 10:17 AM 36
Period: 28.02.2026 Expectation: 3000 pips
Buying EURUSD on weak US GDP print
Yesterday at 10:04 AM 22
Period: 30.01.2026 Expectation: 1110 pips
GBPUSD’s rally is capped despite eased geopolitical stress
Yesterday at 08:50 AM 13
Period: 29.01.2026 Expectation: 690 pips
NG selloff targets $4.400 ahead of reaching local high
22 January 2026 42
Lyra_Moonwell1
Lyra_Moonwell1

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segment "Oil and gas"
Period: 29.01.2026 Expectation: 15200 pips
Investing in ETHUSD up to $3,170 on US-EU trade relief
22 January 2026 47
Go to forecasts