15 December 2022 | Other

Fed talks about further rate hikes, but the market thinks otherwise

At the moment, there are significant contradictions in the assessment of the U.S. Federal Reserve's (Fed's) actions. On the one hand, Fed Chair Jerome Powell is talking about further raising interest rates and fighting inflation. On the other hand, investors on Wall Street have an exceedingly different view.

After the Fed's interest rate hike of 0.5%, Powell is trying hard to dispel an assumption that suddenly appeared. The assumption is that the Fed will give up trying to reduce inflation, despite the easing of price pressures and considerable fears of job losses and recession.

Powell assured that the Fed’s course would remain the same. Thus, as long as the existing problem persists, the Fed won’t change its policy.

Lindsey Piegza, chief economist at Stifel Nicolaus & Co, believes the market is questioning the Fed's hawkish position as the market itself probably expects inflation to lower faster than it was predicted

However, Powell himself said that the Fed is still determined to reduce inflation to the target level of 2%. Thus, despite investors’ assumptions, the bank has no plans to cut rates over the next year.

Company MarketCheese
Period: 03.08.2026 Expectation: 3300 pips
Buy USDCAD on widening greenback-loonie advantage
03 July 2026 36
Period: 10.08.2026 Expectation: 800 pips
AUDCAD keeps rebounding on reduced volatility
03 July 2026 23
Brent sell
Period: 17.07.2026 Expectation: 700 pips
Brent crude sell-off targets $65
03 July 2026 40
Period: 10.07.2026 Expectation: 900 pips
GBPUSD rallies as markets rethink Fed rate path
03 July 2026 31
Gold buy
Period: 02.08.2026 Expectation: 150 pips
Invest in gold as $4,000 holds
02 July 2026 82
Period: 02.08.2026 Expectation: 2400 pips
Buying USDJPY upon updating all-time highs
02 July 2026 43
Go to forecasts