15 December 2022 | Other

Fed talks about further rate hikes, but the market thinks otherwise

At the moment, there are significant contradictions in the assessment of the U.S. Federal Reserve's (Fed's) actions. On the one hand, Fed Chair Jerome Powell is talking about further raising interest rates and fighting inflation. On the other hand, investors on Wall Street have an exceedingly different view.

After the Fed's interest rate hike of 0.5%, Powell is trying hard to dispel an assumption that suddenly appeared. The assumption is that the Fed will give up trying to reduce inflation, despite the easing of price pressures and considerable fears of job losses and recession.

Powell assured that the Fed’s course would remain the same. Thus, as long as the existing problem persists, the Fed won’t change its policy.

Lindsey Piegza, chief economist at Stifel Nicolaus & Co, believes the market is questioning the Fed's hawkish position as the market itself probably expects inflation to lower faster than it was predicted

However, Powell himself said that the Fed is still determined to reduce inflation to the target level of 2%. Thus, despite investors’ assumptions, the bank has no plans to cut rates over the next year.

Company MarketCheese
Period: 14.05.2025 Expectation: 1650 pips
Technical and fundamental background supports AUDCAD
07 May 2025 67
Elena_Dorokhina
Elena_Dorokhina

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segment "Currencies"
Period: 08.05.2025 Expectation: 550 pips
EURUSD to drop to 1.13000
07 May 2025 50
Period: 13.05.2025 Expectation: 240 pips
Brent crude price rebound to continue up to 65
07 May 2025 52
Period: 14.05.2025 Expectation: 1000 pips
Buying GBPUSD amid trade talks and weaker dollar with target at 1.344
07 May 2025 32
Period: 12.05.2025 Expectation: 1500 pips
USDJPY rebound fades ahead of Fed meeting
06 May 2025 66
Period: 30.05.2025 Expectation: 975 pips
Natural gas maintains upside potential within megaphone pattern
06 May 2025 67
Go to forecasts