23 December 2022 | Other

Oil supplies from Russia may fall by 20%

Exports of Russia's main Urals crude oil from Baltic Sea ports may drop by 20% in December. This is related to the entry into force of marginal oil prices and the European Union embargo on supplies from Russia.

According to traders, Russia has not been able to fully redirect Urals supplies from Europe to other markets, such as India and China, and has been desperate to find the optimal number of ships.

Traders’ data and calculations by Reuters suggest that deliveries of Urals from the Baltic Sea ports this month are likely to drop to around 5 million tons, and according to some estimates, to 4.7 million tons. In November, this figure was 6 million tons.

On December 5, price caps for oil from Russia at $60 per barrel set by the EU, G7 countries and Australia came into effect, further to the EU embargo on imports of Russian oil by sea.

Company MarketCheese
Period: 26.07.2026 Expectation: 1600 pips
Buying AUDCAD from support level
26 June 2026 48
Period: 03.07.2026 Expectation: 1310 pips
GBPUSD is still poised for further downside
26 June 2026 30
Brent sell
Period: 03.07.2026 Expectation: 500 pips
Higher supply and weaker demand is likely to push Brent into red zone by weekend
26 June 2026 21
Period: 26.07.2026 Expectation: 3100 pips
Invest in USDCAD up to 1.45000
26 June 2026 27
Period: 02.07.2026 Expectation: 19500 pips
Selling ETHUSD with $1,585 in view following short-lived recovery
25 June 2026 41
Period: 31.07.2026 Expectation: 220 pips
Buying AUDCAD up to 0.9837
25 June 2026 25
Go to forecasts