2 December 2022 | Other

Chinese officials may signal policy shift from Covid Zero to growth

According to economists, Chinese authorities may shift the focus from the zero-COVID approach that has stymied economic growth at the December meeting. 

The Politburo, the Chinese Communist Party's top body, consists of 24 members. It convenes a meeting to lay out policy priorities for the year. Then they become the topic of discussion at the Central Economic Working Conference, which usually takes place within a week of the Politburo meeting. 

The targets for economic growth, including a target for GDP, are agreed on and released at the annual legislative meeting in March.

Investors are closely watching how the authorities will balance strict COVID-related rules and the nation’s need for economic growth. Beijing residents are currently holding demonstrations against strict safety measures. Given such mass protests, economists say that China will need extra monetary and fiscal stimulus to rescue economic growth. 

Carlos Casanova, senior economist for Asia at UBP SA in Hong Kong, spoke up about the policy of China. According to him, the authorities will be seeking growth at least in the first half of 2023.

Company MarketCheese
Period: 28.09.2026 Expectation: 4000 pips
Buy USDCAD while US inflation remains sticky
28 August 2026 41
Period: 11.08.2026 Expectation: 740 pips
Go long on Brent crude up to $95
28 August 2026 41
Period: 27.09.2026 Expectation: 4650 pips
Invest in USDJPY up to its all-time high of 164.00
27 August 2026 50
Period: 30.09.2026 Expectation: 500 pips
Sell ​​GBPUSD down to 1.3540
27 August 2026 30
Gold buy
Period: 10.09.2026 Expectation: 300 pips
Buy gold with $4,900 in sight
27 August 2026 48
Period: 30.09.2026 Expectation: 250 pips
Buying EURUSD from 1.1650
26 August 2026 40
Go to forecasts