20 December 2022 | Other

People’s Bank of China kept rates unchanged

In line with economists’ forecasts, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) kept the one-year loan prime rate at the same level of 3.65%. The five-year rate also remained unchanged at the level of 4.3%.

Economists outline a high probability of the five-year rate’s decline in the upcoming months. This move will allow the government to stimulate housing demand ahead of potential policy easing in the property market. Currently, the housing market is experiencing a record fall in history. Prices have been continuously going down for more than a year. 

China’s central bank has found ways to maintain liquidity in the financial system without changing lending rates. For instance, this month, the reserve requirement ratio for banks was reduced. This move is likely to ease the excessive financial burden of banks, giving them a chance to lower lending rates in the future.

Amid uncertain economic prospects, the PBOC is acting rather cautiously. Recently, the country’s economic growth has slowed down significantly, feeling the pressure of an abrupt cancellation of COVID-19 restrictions. However, economists expect China’s economy to recover in the following year. They also predict a possible rise in inflation.

Company MarketCheese
Period: 14.05.2025 Expectation: 1650 pips
Technical and fundamental background supports AUDCAD
07 May 2025 67
Elena_Dorokhina
Elena_Dorokhina

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segment "Currencies"
Period: 08.05.2025 Expectation: 550 pips
EURUSD to drop to 1.13000
07 May 2025 50
Period: 13.05.2025 Expectation: 240 pips
Brent crude price rebound to continue up to 65
07 May 2025 52
Period: 14.05.2025 Expectation: 1000 pips
Buying GBPUSD amid trade talks and weaker dollar with target at 1.344
07 May 2025 32
Period: 12.05.2025 Expectation: 1500 pips
USDJPY rebound fades ahead of Fed meeting
06 May 2025 66
Period: 30.05.2025 Expectation: 975 pips
Natural gas maintains upside potential within megaphone pattern
06 May 2025 67
Go to forecasts