30 September 2022 | Other

China's manufacturing activity rose unexpectedly in September

After two consecutive months of decline, China's manufacturing activity rose in September. This was made possible by a set of stimulus and easing measures under COVID.

According to official data, the manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) reached 50.1 in September, surpassing the expected 49.6 and the previous month's reading of 49.4. 

An independent Caixin survey showed that the nation's manufacturing PMI fell to 48.1 in September from a level of 49.5 in the previous month.

What makes the Caixin figures different from those provided by the government is the coverage of the companies surveyed. Caixin polls a smaller focus group, consisting largely of private businesses. The government, in turn, surveys a larger focus group of state-owned businesses. 

The lifting of covidic restrictions in the economic centers of Chengdu and Shenzhen was a kind of "catalyst" for manufacturing, as this factor enabled factories to resume production at increased capacity. The manufacturing sector is considered an indicator of the health of the world's second largest economy.

Despite this, the covidual restrictions caused disruptions in other sectors of the economy as well. China's non-manufacturing sector Purchasing Managers' Index fell to 50.6 in September from 52.6 the previous month.

The composite PMI shows overall economic activity. It fell to 50.9 in China in September from 51.7 in the previous month. A series of COVID lockdowns, combined with power shortages and a weakening yuan, have seriously depressed China's economic activity this year. 

However, in the meantime, the government has taken a number of stimulus measures to support economic growth. These include increased spending on infrastructure and lower interest rates by the central bank.

The main reason for China's economic problems this year is the zero-cost COVID policy. Despite this, China has shown no desire to end it.

This has also had a negative impact on the yuan, which recently fell to a record low.

Company MarketCheese
Period: 10.04.2026 Expectation: 500 pips
AUDCAD flashes short-term buy signal
03 April 2026 38
Period: 10.04.2026 Expectation: 800 pips
GBPUSD is poised to resume decline after short-term bullish momentum
03 April 2026 32
Period: 29.05.2026 Expectation: 2000 pips
Selling USDCAD with 1.37250 target
03 April 2026 28
Period: 30.04.2026 Expectation: 1300 pips
Investing in SPX during correction with 6,700 in sight
03 April 2026 18
Brent sell
Period: 10.04.2026 Expectation: 850 pips
Brent crude pullback is coming as geopolitical premium fades
03 April 2026 41
Period: 30.04.2026 Expectation: 850 pips
Selling EURUSD down to 1.1490
03 April 2026 33
Go to forecasts