7 December 2022 | Other

Pace of rate hikes in Mexico could slow down

According to Jonathan Heath, deputy governor of the Bank of Mexico (Banxico), the cycle of rate increases is not over yet. Nevertheless, after four consecutive increases of 0.75%, there is now the possibility of a slowdown. Heath also said that all current indicators could point to a key rate peak soon. 

Banxico raised interest rates to a record 10% in the current tightening cycle. That step was aimed at lowering inflation, which was well above the bank's target average of 3%.

The deputy explained the slowdown would only get evident if global commodities and energy prices fell. Heath also pointed to declining food costs and transportation costs as signs of deflation.

Mexico has relied heavily on fuel subsidies to help contain consumer prices. President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador said without this measure, annual inflation would have reached 14%.

However, nowadays along with lower global energy prices, the work of subsidies will point to slower inflation in Mexico.

Company MarketCheese
Period: 31.05.2026 Expectation: 4500 pips
Selling EURUSD from resistance
20 March 2026 34
Period: 27.03.2026 Expectation: 900 pips
USDCAD resistance looms as overheating sets in
20 March 2026 34
Period: 27.03.2026 Expectation: 1050 pips
AUDCAD thrives on monetary divergence
20 March 2026 21
Period: 31.03.2026 Expectation: 800 pips
Buying Brent crude with $115 in view
20 March 2026 39
Gold sell
Period: 31.03.2026 Expectation: 600 pips
Selling gold upon breaking $4,560
20 March 2026 34
Period: 30.04.2026 Expectation: 2000 pips
SPX selloff to follow once it consolidates below $6,600
20 March 2026 20
Go to forecasts