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Citigroup expects stock markets in Europe and US to improve

Following the upward revision of the S&P 500 index target for 2025, Citigroup experts also shared their optimistic forecasts regarding the dynamics of European and global stocks.

11 June
German DAX index risks losing over 5% by year-end amid trade confrontations with US

The German DAX index, which reflects the performance of Europe’s largest economy, could lose 5.1% by the end of this year, according to the forecast of analysts polled by Reuters. That said, the index hit a record high in May, rising above 24,300.

30 May
German DAX index risks losing over 5% by year-end amid trade confrontations with US
EU stocks rise as defense sector shares gain traction

On Tuesday, European stocks rose as defense sector shares gained after the US administration suspended plans to impose 50% tariffs on imports from the EU. In Germany, the DAX 40 closed the trading session at an all-time high, up 0.8% to 24,316.5.

28 May
EU stocks rise as defense sector shares gain traction
European stocks gain as Donald Trump delays tariffs

European stocks rose as US President Donald Trump said he would move the imposition of 50% tariffs on EU goods to July 9 after a phone call with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen.

26 May
European stocks gain as Donald Trump delays tariffs
European stocks rise amid strong EU economic data

European stock indices rose on Friday, May 23, as better-than-expected regional economic data improved market sentiment.

23 May
European stocks rise amid strong EU economic data
Robust corporate earnings in Europe support bullish scenario for region's stocks

According to data reported by Bloomberg Intelligence, European companies across the majority of sectors increased sales and improved margins in the first quarter of this year. Overall earnings growth amounted to 5% year-on-year, beating the consensus forecast of a 1.5% decline.

22 May
Robust corporate earnings in Europe support bullish scenario for region's stocks
Morgan Stanley joins JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs in raising outlook for European banks

Morgan Stanley analysts have upgraded the outlook for European banks. The experts believe EU institutions still have upside potential, even after rallying to a 17-year high. JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. have also expressed optimism about the region’s financial sector.

21 May
Morgan Stanley joins JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs in raising outlook for European banks
European first-quarter corporate earnings expected to rise 2.3% — Reuters

According to LSEG data, European firms are expected to report an increase in earnings of 2.3% in the first three months of 2025, up from the 1.9% rise projected by analysts a week ago.

21 May
European first-quarter corporate earnings expected to rise 2.3% — Reuters
Fidelity fund manager invests in American stocks amid US-China trade truce

This week, Fidelity International's fund manager said she increased the share of US stocks in her portfolio, citing market optimism following the US-China trade truce.

15 May
Fidelity fund manager invests in American stocks amid US-China trade truce
Uncertainty over US tariff policy weighs on European companies’ outlook

Major European companies are facing turbulence from US tariffs. Despite the recent trade truce between the US and China, investors remain wary as uncertainty persists, Reuters reports.

15 May
Uncertainty over US tariff policy weighs on European companies’ outlook
European stock indexes decline as excitement over US-China trade deal fades

European stock indexes are down on Thursday, May 15, as investors are seeking new impulses to push the market in a certain direction after excitement over the US-China trade truce has peaked.

15 May
European stock indexes decline as excitement over US-China trade deal fades

The DAX (Deutscher Aktienindex) Index is the main stock market indicator of Germany, which reflects the performance of the largest companies of the country. It represents 40 leading German corporations listed on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange. The financial instrument is considered to be a key gauge of the economic health in the Federal Republic of Germany and the Eurozone.

Major factors that determine the value of DAX:

  • Macroeconomic situation, represented by monetary policy decisions of the European Central Bank (ECB), inflation rate, GDP growth rate and employment figures. These data have a direct impact on investor sentiment and index movement.
  • Financial statements reflecting the results of Germany's largest companies. High corporate profits support the growth of the index, while weak indicators can lead to a decrease in its rate.
  • Political stability; economic policy of Germany and the EU, tax regulation, trade relations with other countries. Geopolitical risks and restrictive measures can also increase volatility in the market.
  • Market sentiment, including the behavior of institutional investors, level of confidence in the fiscal system, and demand for risky assets. High interest in stocks of large companies contributes to the rise of this financial instrument.
  • Technological progress, especially regarding the development of new technologies, impact of IT companies and their role in the economy.

A rise in the DAX indicates that investors are optimistic and confident, while a fall could be a warning sign of a potential recession or crisis.

This index is used for both long-term investing and short-term trading. To forecast its dynamics accurately, it is important to take into account macroeconomic statistics, corporate reporting, and global market trends.