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Citigroup expects stock markets in Europe and US to improve

Following the upward revision of the S&P 500 index target for 2025, Citigroup experts also shared their optimistic forecasts regarding the dynamics of European and global stocks.

11 June
United States. CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions. The value of the indicator has decreased from -69.4K to -127.7K

A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of S&P 500.

Yesterday at 7:30 PM
Citigroup expects stock markets in Europe and US to improve

Following the upward revision of the S&P 500 index target for 2025, Citigroup experts also shared their optimistic forecasts regarding the dynamics of European and global stocks.

11 June
Citigroup expects stock markets in Europe and US to improve
Barclays and JPMorgan expect S&P 500 to rise despite Wall Street's cautious positioning

Analysts at Barclays and JPMorgan expect US stocks to go up despite the current cautiousness of institutional investors. So far, according to Deutsche Bank AG, their overall positioning on stocks is quite low.

11 June
Barclays and JPMorgan expect S&P 500 to rise despite Wall Street's cautious positioning
S&P 500 index continues to recover in anticipation of US-China trade talks outcome

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 index ended the trading session on a high note. According to Reuters, this trend reflects the US stock market's positive sentiment regarding the outcome of US-China negotiations.

11 June
S&P 500 index continues to recover in anticipation of US-China trade talks outcome
Optimism over US economic outlook draws investors to domestic stocks — Citi

Citigroup strategists note that major US tech giants are attracting growing investor interest, as market optimism about America's economic outlook outweighs global trade uncertainty. The S&P 500 is now about 2% below its February record highs.

10 June
Optimism over US economic outlook draws investors to domestic stocks — Citi
Citigroup revises its 2025 outlook for US Fed rate cuts from 100 to 75 basis points

Citigroup experts have revised their outlook on the scale and timing of rate cuts in the United States. If previously analysts assumed a reduction in borrowing costs by 100 basis points within four meetings in 2025, now they suggest a reduction of only 75 basis points.

10 June
Citigroup revises its 2025 outlook for US Fed rate cuts from 100 to 75 basis points
S&P 500 could hit new high amid US-China trade talks — JPMorgan

Trade negotiations between the US and China, currently taking place in London, could lead to positive results for global markets. According to JPMorgan analysts, successful negotiations could push the S&P 500, which is just 2% below its February peak, to a new all-time high.

10 June
S&P 500 could hit new high amid US-China trade talks — JPMorgan
Tariff risks already priced into US stocks — Yahoo Finance

Despite signs of a cooling labor market and slowing economic activity in the US, Wall Street strategists remain confident and don’t expect a summer slowdown for American stocks. They believe the key risks, including those tied to tariffs, are already priced in, according to Yahoo Finance.

10 June
Tariff risks already priced into US stocks — Yahoo Finance
Asian investors retreat from US stocks — Bloomberg

Bloomberg reports that Asian investors are pulling back from US equities. This follows a period of active buying in April when US stocks declined due to aggressive tariff policies implemented by President Donald Trump.

10 June
Asian investors retreat from US stocks — Bloomberg
S&P 500 rises amid US-China trade talks

US stocks rose on Monday amid optimism over trade talks between the US and China. The S&P 500 gained 0.1%, inching closer to its all-time high, boosted by Amazon and Alphabet shares climbing more than 1%, Yahoo Finance reports.

10 June
S&P 500 rises amid US-China trade talks

The S&P 500 Index (Standard & Poor's 500) is one of the key indicators of the US stock market and overall economic health of the United States. It represents the stock performance of the country's leading corporations. This stock market instrument reflects the dynamics of different sectors and serves as a universal benchmark for investors and analysts.

Major factors that determine the value of S&P 500:

  • Macroeconomic situation, i.e. the Federal Reserve's monetary policy plans, inflation rate, GDP growth rate, and employment figures. These parameters have a direct impact on the stock market.
  • Financial statements reflecting the profits and revenue of major companies, stock performance of which is represented by the index. Strong results support the growth of quotations, while weak results contribute to their decline.
  • Political environment, which includes the tax system, the level of government debt, and monetary reforms. Geopolitical events and government decisions also influence the behavior of traders.
  • Market sentiment; the movement of this stock market index is largely determined by investors' expectations, their appetite for risk, and the strategies of major funds.
  • Technology sector, especially regarding the development of new technologies, impact of IT companies and their role in the economy.

The S&P 500 is often seen as a gauge of US financial health. Its growth suggests positive expectations and investor confidence, while a decrease may signal risks of recession or crisis.

This index is used for both long-term investing and short-term trading. To forecast its movement accurately, it's necessary to take into account macroeconomic data, corporate reporting, and the overall state of the stock market.